| Ray C. Fair: New Haven 20K Times |
| Predicted | ||||||
| Minimum | ||||||
| No. | Date | Time | Pace | Age | Time | Difference |
| 1 | September 4, 1978 | 1:24:43 | 6:49 | 35 | 1:12:31 | 12:12 |
| 2 | September 3, 1979 | 1:23:02 | 6:41 | 36 | 1:13:06 | 9:56 |
| 3 | September 1, 1980 | 1:35:35 | 7:41 | 37 | 1:13:41 | 21:54 |
| 4 | September 7, 1981 | sick | - | 38 | 1:14:16 | - |
| 5 | September 6, 1982 | 1:25:45 | 6:54 | 39 | 1:14:55 | 10:50 |
| 6 | September 5, 1983 | 1:32:37 | 7:27 | 40 | 1:15:30 | 17:07 |
| 7 | September 3, 1984 | 1:23:49 | 6:45 | 41 | 1:16:05 | 7:44 |
| 8 | September 2, 1985 | 1:19:44 | 6:25 | 42 | 1:16:44 | 3:00 |
| 9 | September 1, 1986 | 1:18:40 | 6:20 | 43 | 1:17:19 | 1:21 |
| 10 | September 7, 1987 | 1:21:27 | 6:33 | 44 | 1:17:58 | 3:29 |
| 11 | September 5, 1988 | 1:21:50 | 6:35 | 45 | 1:18:37 | 3:13 |
| 12 | September 7, 1989 | 1:23:12 | 6:42 | 46 | 1:19:12 | 4:00 |
| 13 | September 3, 1990 | 1:23:15 | 6:42 | 47 | 1:19:51 | 3:24 |
| 14 | September 2, 1991 | 1:20:30 | 6:29 | 48 | 1:20:30 | 0:00 |
| 15 | September 7, 1992 | 1:22:48 | 6:40 | 49 | 1:21:09 | 1:39 |
| 16 | September 6, 1993 | 1:26:57 | 7:00 | 50 | 1:21:48 | 5:09 |
| 17 | September 5, 1994 | 1:29:17 | 7:11 | 51 | 1:22:28 | 6:49 |
| 18 | September 4, 1995 | 1:26:31 | 6:58 | 52 | 1:23:07 | 3:24 |
| 19 | September 2, 1996 | 1:26:13 | 6:56 | 53 | 1:23:46 | 2:27 |
| 20 | September 1, 1997 | 1:32:09 | 7:25 | 54 | 1:24:29 | 7:40 |
| 21 | September 7, 1998 | 1:38:52 | 7:57 | 55 | 1:25:08 | 13:44 |
| 22 | September 6, 1999 | 1:27:38 | 7:03 | 56 | 1:25:52 | 1:46 |
| 23 | September 4, 2000 | 1:30:48 | 7:18 | 57 | 1:26:31 | 4:17 |
| 24 | September 3, 2001 | 1:31:40 | 7:23 | 58 | 1:27:15 | 4:25 |
| 25 | September 2, 2002 | 1:36:20 | 7:45 | 59 | 1:27:54 | 8:26 |
| 26 | September 1, 2003 | 1:36:47 | 7:47 | 60 | 1:28:37 | 8:10 |
| 27 | September 6, 2004 | 1:36:32 | 7:46 | 61 | 1:29:21 | 7:11 |
| 28 | September 5, 2005 | 1:54:58 | 9:15 | 62 | 1:30:04 | 24:54 |
| 29 | September 4, 2006 | 1:49:18 | 8:48 | 63 | 1:30:48 | 18:30 |
| 30 | September 3, 2007 | 1:43:33 | 8:20 | 64 | 1:31:31 | 12:02 |
The predicted minimum times were computed on the aging part of this site: Aging in Sports and Chess. Even though my best time ever was 1:18:40 at age 43, my best age corrected time according to the age factors used on this site was 1:20:30 at age 48. The predicted minimum times above use the 1:20:30 performance at age 48 as the base. These calculations show how people can use the age factors to plan their lives. As you can see, in the last race I came back part way to my line, and I am now motivated to try even harder. |