Barbara Pearce: New Haven 20K Times

					Predicted
					Minimum
No.	Date	Time	Pace	Age	Time	Difference
11	September 5, 1988	1:53:00	9:06	33	1:21:54	31:06
12	September 7, 1989	1:41:41	8:11	34	1:21:54	19:47
13	September 3, 1990	1:40:00	8:03	35	1:21:54	18:06
14	September 2, 1991	1:30:03	7:15	36	1:22:33	7:30
15	September 7, 1992	1:35:25	7:41	37	1:23:13	12:12
16	September 6, 1993	1:29:52	7:14	38	1:23:52	6:00
17	September 5, 1994	1:29:15	7:11	39	1:24:36	4:39
18	September 4, 1995	1:26:15	6:56	40	1:25:15	1:00
19	September 2, 1996	1:29:40	7:13	41	1:25:55	3:45
20	September 1, 1997	1:32:58	7:29	42	1:26:39	6:19
21	September 7, 1998	1:30:09	7:15	43	1:27:18	2:51
22	September 6, 1999	1:49:00	8:46	44	1:28:03	20:57
23	September 4, 2000	1:41:22	8:09	45	1:28:47	12:35
24	September 3, 2001	1:35:56	7:43	46	1:29:26	6:30
25	September 2, 2002	1:32:38	7:27	47	1:30:10	2:28
26	September 1, 2003	1:56:42	9:23	48	1:30:55	25:47
27	September 6, 2004	1:32:26	7:26	49	1:31:39	0:47
28	September 5, 2005	1:35:40	7:42	50	1:32:23	3:17
29	September 4, 2006	1:38:22	7:55	51	1:33:07	5:15
30	September 3, 2007	1:34:44	7:37	52	1:33:51	0:53
31	September 1, 2008	1:36:00	7:43	53	1:34:36	1:24
32	September 7, 2009	1:35:35	7:41	54	1:35:25	0:10
33	September 6, 2010	1:36:09	7:44	55	1:36:09	0:00
34	September 5, 2011	1:44:10	8:23	56	1:36:58	7:12
35	September 3, 2012	1:40:53	8:07	57	1:37:42	3:11

The predicted minimum times were computed on the aging part of this site: Aging in Sports and Chess. These calculations are based on an age corrected best time of 1:36:09 at age 55. This is not Barbara's best time, which is 1:26:15 at age 40, but it is the best age corrected. Barbara's four races between ages 52 and 55 were remarkable---essentially on the line each race. Her time for the 2011 race was not as good, but she came back closer to the line in 2012.