[position in research by date]
[position in research by subject]
"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President,"
The Review of Economics and Statistics, May 1978, 159-173.
pdf file (1,276KB).
This is the main paper I wrote examining the effects of economic events on
votes for president. Estimating the effects of economic events on
voting behavior has become a popular topic, and I have followed up this
paper with a number of updates:
The most complete updated discussion is in 1996#1.
No specification changes were made in 1998#2 from the specification in
A brief history of my work and earlier work in this field is in
1996#2, which is less technical than
the other papers.