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"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for
President: 1984 Update,"
Political Behavior, 1988, 168-179.
pdf file (693KB).
Abstract
In previous work I have developed an equation explaining votes for
president in the United States that seem to have remarkable
explanatory power. In this paper the equation is updated through
the 1984 election and then used to predict the 1988 election.
Comments
This is my second update of 1978#2.
The earlier update is
1982#1.
The later updates are
1990#3,
1996#1,
1998#2,
2002#4,
2006#3.
See also 1996#2 for a less technical
discussion.