[position in research by date]
[position in research by subject]
"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for
President: 1992 Update,"
Political Behavior, June 1996, 119-139.
pdf file--200bpi (982KB),
pdf file--300bpi (1,674KB).
Abstract
This article updates through the 1992 election the equation originally
presented in Fair (1978) explaining votes for president. Conditional
predictions of the 1996 election are also made.
Comments
This is my fourth update of 1978#2.
The earlier updates are
1982#1,
1988#5,
1990#3.
The later updates are
1998#2,
2002#4,
2006#3.
See also 1996#2 for a less technical
discussion.
This update was more extensive than any of the others
because of the attempt to account for the large error made in
predicting the 1992 election.