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Possible Macroeconomic Consequences of
Large Future Federal Government Deficits
October 2009.
Has Macro Progressed?
September 2009.
Analyzing Macroeconomic Forecastability,
September 2009.
Interpreting the Predictive Uncertainty of
Elections, Journal of Politics, April 2009.
Presidential and Congressional Vote-Share
Equations, American Journal of Political Science, January 2009,
55-72.
Testing Price Equations,
European Economic Review, November 2008, 1424-1437.
Estimated Age Effects in Baseball,
2008, Journal of Quantitative Analysis in Sports, Vol. 4: Iss. 1,
Article 1.
Branch Rickey's Equation Fifty Years
Later, (with Danielle Catambay),
Nine, Fall 2008, 111-119.
Evaluating Inflation Targeting Using a
Macroeconometric Model, 2007,
economics - The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal, 2007-8.
A Comparison of Five Federal Reserve Chairmen: Was
Greenspan the Best? 2007,
The B.E. Journal of Macroeconomics, Vol. 7:
Iss. 1 (Contributions), Article 12.
Estimated Age Effects in Athletic Events and
Chess,
Experimental Aging Research, 2007, 37-57.
College Football Rankings and
Market Efficiency, (with John F. Oster),
Journal of Sports Economics, February 2007, 3-18.
The Effect of Economic Events on Votes
for President: 2004 Update, November 1, 2006.
Policy Effects in the Post Boom U.S. Economy,
2005, Topics in Macroeconomics, Vol. 5: Iss. 1, Article 19.
Estimates of the Effectiveness of Monetary
Policy,
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, August 2005, 645-660.
Natural Concepts in Macroeconomics,
June 2005.
Estimating How the Macroeconomy Works,
Harvard University Press, 2004.
Testing for a New Economy in the 1990s,
Business Economics, January 2004, 43-53.
Optimal Control and Stochastic Simulation of Large
Nonlinear Models with Rational Expectations,
Computational Economics, June 2003, 245-256.
Bootstrapping Macroeconometric Models,
2003, Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics and Econometrics,
Vol. 7: No. 4, Article 1.
Risk Aversion and Stock Prices,
February 2003.
Shock Effects on Stocks, Bonds, and
Exchange Rates,
Journal of International Money and Finance,
2003, 307-341.
Events that Shook the Market,
Journal of Business, October 2002, 713-732.
On Modeling the Effects of Inflation Shocks,
2002, Contributions to Macroeconomics, Vol. 2: Iss. 1, Article 3.
Actual Federal Reserve Policy
Behavior and Interest Rate Rules,
FRBNY Economic Policy Review, March 2001, 61-72.
Fed Policy and the Effects of a Stock
Market Crash on the Economy, Business Economics, April 2000, 7-14.
Testing the NAIRU Model for the United
States,
The Review of Economics and Statistics, February 2000, 64-71.
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