Compute Vote Predictions: Input Values
The equation to predict the 2012 presidential election is
VP = 48.39 + .672*G - .654*P + 0.990*Z
The equation to predict the 2012 House election is
VC = 45.63 + .384*G - .373*P + 0.565*Z
Values to be computed:
? Democratic share of the two-party presidential vote in 2012 (VP)
? Democratic share of the two-party House vote in 2012 (VC)
Your input values:
growth rate of real per capita GDP in the first 3 quarters of 2012 (annual rate) (G)
growth rate of the GDP deflator in the first 15 quarters of the Obama administration,
2009:1-2012:3 (annual rate) (P)
number of quarters in the first 15 quarters of the Obama administration in which the growth
rate of real per capita GDP is greater than 3.2 percent at an annual rate (Z)