Chapter 6 Tables: April 27, 2001 |
This is an update of the tables in Chapter 6 in the 1994 book. It presents the ROW model that is part of the MC3 model. The date of the ROW model presented here is April 27, 2001. |
~ means the variable is lagged one period. * means the hypothesis of stability is rejected at the one percent level. LHS means left hand side.
Equation 1: Estimates |
Table 6a: Equation 1: Estimates |
Equation 1: log(IM/POP) is the LHS variable Cty Cnst LHS-1 logPY/PM log(C+I+G)/POP RHO SE DW Quarterly equations: CA -0.271 0.985 0.049 0.045 0.188 0.0303 2.02 (-0.70)(42.16) (1.23) (0.71) (2.14) 1966.1-1999.4 JA -0.061 0.913 0.058 0.070 - 0.0292 1.79 (-0.39)(35.94) (5.68) (1.80) 1966.1-1999.4 AU -0.895 0.735 0.123 0.418 - 0.0361 2.12 (-2.47)(12.31) (3.10) (3.33) 1970.1-1999.2 FR -0.738 0.839 0.088 0.304 0.332 0.0208 2.08 (-2.15)(14.79) (2.99) (2.37) (3.00) 1971.1-1999.4 GE -0.066 0.973 - 0.044 - 0.0227 2.28 (-0.77)(30.72) (0.88) 1971.1-1999.4 IT -1.444 0.825 0.070 0.309 - 0.0365 2.06 (-2.95)(17.39) (3.19) (3.37) 1971.1-1999.4 NE -0.247 0.925 0.019 0.166 - 0.0179 2.00 (-0.65)(11.71) (0.50) (0.76) 1978.1-1999.2 UK -2.573 0.733 0.022 0.548 - 0.0294 1.94 (-4.15)(11.81) (1.06) (4.25) 1966.1-1999.3 FI 0.125 0.928 0.053 0.052 - 0.0588 2.74 (0.14)(18.40) (0.92) (0.50) 1976.1-1999.4 AS -3.357 0.754 0.141 0.578 0.286 0.0395 2.06 (-3.57)(10.10) (2.79) (3.52) (2.45) 1966.1-1999.4 SO -0.091 0.848 0.020 0.138 0.170 0.0654 2.00 (-0.17)(12.96) (0.49) (1.41) (1.65) 1961.1-1999.4 KO 0.216 0.821 0.303 0.126 -0.251 0.0522 1.93 (0.59)(16.96) (5.05) (1.52) (-2.47) 1974.1-1999.3 Cty Cnst LHS-1 logPY/PM log(C+I+G)/POP RHO SE DW Annual equations: BE -3.326 0.427 0.163 1.040 - 0.0376 1.68 (-2.94) (2.93) (2.42) (3.43) 1962-1996 DE -3.500 0.231 0.145 1.274 - 0.0331 1.20 (-5.25) (1.67) (1.89) (5.55) 1967-1998 NO 0.275 0.635 0.305 0.246 - 0.0493 1.56 (0.51) (3.72) (2.68) (1.14) 1962-1998 GR -0.772 0.882 0.157 0.193 - 0.0731 2.17 (-0.70) (9.27) (1.38) (0.92) 1963-1997 IR -6.671 0.403 0.509 1.297 - 0.0549 1.22 (-3.46) (2.59) (4.24) (3.68) 1968-1997 PO -2.302 0.464 0.363 0.785 - 0.0940 1.19 (-2.63) (2.67) (3.20) (2.94) 1962-1996 SP -2.199 0.541 0.349 0.663 - 0.0679 1.13 (-1.46) (3.89) (3.98) (2.19) 1962-1998 NZ -7.825 0.526 0.233 1.192 - 0.0758 1.54 (-3.66) (4.73) (2.86) (4.04) 1962-1997 SA -0.214 0.554 - 0.395 - 0.1357 0.75 (-0.77) (3.59) (2.33) 1970-1999 CO -2.269 0.312 0.289 0.838 - 0.0894 1.30 (-1.12) (1.51) (1.60) (2.64) 1971-1997 SY -4.240 0.321 0.112 1.008 - 0.1385 1.27 (-2.94) (1.95) (1.96) (3.75) 1965-1998 ID -0.986 0.825 - 0.441 - 0.1123 1.81 (-1.67) (6.96) (1.76) 1962-1997 PH -3.644 0.534 0.224 1.410 - 0.1686 1.96 (-2.77) (3.79) (1.19) (2.94) 1962-1999 TH -2.001 0.431 - 0.945 - 0.1022 1.14 (-3.34) (2.94) (3.71) 1979-1999 CH -1.133 0.435 - 0.791 - 0.1141 1.61 (-2.69) (2.78) (2.87) 1984-1999 AR - 0.296 - 0.535 - 0.1072 1.47 (0.99) (2.39) 1994-1999 CE -1.946 0.296 - 0.851 - 0.1136 0.76 (-1.99) (1.20) (2.69) 1979-1999 ME -2.848 0.815 0.240 0.443 - 0.1763 1.30 (-1.54) (7.38) (1.30) (1.76) 1962-1997 PE - 0.677 - 0.258 - 0.0595 1.61 (4.17) (2.06) 1992-1998 |