Chapter 6 Tables: December 27, 1998
This is an update of the tables in Chapter 6 in the 1994 book. It presents the ROW model that is part of the MC2 model. The date of the ROW model presented here is December 27, 1998. This is the latest version of the ROW model on this site.
~ means the variable is lagged one period.
* means the hypothesis of stability is rejected at the one percent level.
LHS means left hand side.

Equation 1: Estimates
Equation 2: Estimates
Equation 3: Estimates
Equation 4: Estimates
Equation 5: Estimates
Equation 6: Estimates
Equation 7: Estimates
Equation 8: Estimates
Equation 9: Estimates
Equation 10: Estimates
Equation 11: Estimates
Equation 12: Estimates
Equation 13: Estimates
Equation 14: Estimates
Equation 15: Estimates
Equation 1: Tests
Equation 2: Tests
Equation 3: Tests
Equation 4: Tests
Equation 5: Tests
Equation 6: Tests
Equation 7: Tests
Equation 8: Tests
Equation 9: Tests
Equation 10: Tests
Equation 11: Tests
Equation 12: Tests
Equation 13: Tests
Equation 14: Tests
Equation 15: Tests

Table 6a: Equation 1: Estimates
                                                
Equation 1:  log(M/POP) is the LHS variable                                   
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  LHS-1 logPY/PM   RS      RB  logY/POP A/PY*YS-1 RHO     SE    DW   
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -1.635  0.825  0.077  -0.0072~    -     0.342  0.007     -    0.0376   2.27
  (-4.13)(20.36) (1.50)  (-5.28)          (4.78) (0.31)          1966.1-1997.4
                                                                              
JA  0.089  0.874  0.044  -0.0026~    -     0.065  0.024     -    0.0354   2.29
   (0.38)(24.36) (1.80)  (-1.47)          (1.60) (0.58)          1967.3-1997.4
                                                                              
AU -3.062  0.392  0.221     -        -     1.244  0.039     -    0.0355   2.10
  (-4.95) (4.62) (3.03)                   (5.70) (1.07)          1971.1-1995.4
                                                                              
FR -2.812  0.385  0.138  -0.0011~    -     1.380  0.198     -    0.0267   2.10
  (-5.69) (4.02) (2.89)  (-0.75)          (5.90) (3.15)          1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
GE -0.737  0.773  0.067  -0.0035~    -     0.407  0.018     -    0.0274   2.31
  (-2.60)(11.43) (1.83)  (-3.08)          (2.74) (0.80)          1969.1-1997.4
                                                                              
IT -5.443  0.324  0.146  -0.0044~    -     1.176  0.167     -    0.0508   2.23
  (-7.09) (4.08) (2.90)  (-1.60)          (8.09) (2.44)          1971.1-1997.4
                                                                              
NE -0.184  0.918  0.013~ -0.0034~    -     0.153    -    -0.452  0.0330   1.98
  (-1.26)(18.92) (0.42)  (-2.64)          (1.65)        (-4.18)  1978.2-1997.4
                                                                              
ST -3.104  0.601    -       -     -0.0313  1.544    -       -    0.0317   1.98
  (-3.80) (5.82)                  (-4.51) (3.90)                 1981.1-1996.4
                                                                              
UK -4.681  0.552  0.023~    -     -0.0022  0.965  0.008     -    0.0312   1.89
  (-6.78) (7.99) (0.67)           (-1.26) (6.81) (0.43)          1966.1-1997.4
                                                                              
FI -3.215  0.584  0.032~ -0.0073~    -     0.675    -    -0.428  0.0600   1.95
  (-3.84) (6.00) (0.73)  (-4.52)          (4.39)        (-3.67)  1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
AS -5.436  0.675  0.283  -0.0020~    -     0.898  0.068     -    0.0442   1.88
  (-5.15)(12.90) (4.98)  (-1.31)          (6.28) (2.22)          1971.1-1997.4
                                                                              
SO -0.985  0.808  0.299  -0.0085~    -     0.297  0.007     -    0.0752   2.44
  (-0.92)(19.03) (3.95)  (-4.47)          (2.01) (0.63)          1962.1-1997.4
                                                                              
KO -1.698  0.587  0.093~    -        -     0.585    -       -    0.0709   2.22
  (-4.20) (7.66) (1.79)                   (4.96)                 1972.1-1997.4
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  LHS-1 logPY/PM   RS      RB  logY/POP A/PY*YS-1 RHO     SE    DW   
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE -1.264  0.679  0.213     -        -     0.497~   -       -    0.0444   1.99
  (-0.76) (2.93) (2.78)                   (1.05)                   1961-1996  
                                                                              
DE -1.392  0.424  0.075     -        -     0.718  0.309     -    0.0472   1.95
  (-3.15) (3.11) (0.66)                   (4.35) (1.83)            1967-1996  
                                                                              
NO -0.537  0.733    -       -        -     0.301    -       -    0.0634   1.81
  (-1.55) (6.60)                          (2.12)                   1962-1996  
                                                                              
SW -5.313  0.120  0.036  -0.0245     -     1.733    -       -    0.0525   1.95
  (-3.88) (0.50) (0.31)  (-3.83)          (3.91)                   1965-1996  
                                                                              
GR -0.522  0.766    -       -        -     0.269    -       -    0.0854   2.19
  (-0.63) (6.02)                          (1.26)                   1964-1996  
                                                                              
IR -1.316  0.646  0.258     -        -     0.479  0.046     -    0.0574   1.60
  (-0.94) (3.23) (1.97)                   (1.45) (0.34)            1962-1996  
                                                                              
PO -2.234  0.802    -       -     -0.0042  0.505    -       -    0.1060   1.51
  (-1.92) (8.00)                  (-0.90) (2.01)                   1962-1996  
                                                                              
SP -2.597  0.473  0.560     -        -     0.782  0.765     -    0.0631   1.67
  (-2.00) (3.53) (4.61)                   (2.87) (2.98)            1964-1996  
                                                                              
NZ-10.808  0.168  0.425     -     -0.0080  1.785    -       -    0.0821   2.27
  (-4.69) (1.28) (3.85)           (-1.44) (5.62)                   1962-1996  
                                                                              
SA -1.983  0.820    -       -        -     0.691  0.054     -    0.1148   1.47
  (-4.60)(17.26)                          (5.20) (0.84)            1970-1996  
                                                                              
VE -9.574  0.188  0.516     -        -     2.466  0.684     -    0.1392   1.66
  (-4.73) (1.64) (2.42)                   (5.27) (2.32)            1963-1996  
                                                                              
CO -5.100  0.681    -       -        -     1.041  1.491     -    0.0953   2.30
  (-2.90) (6.56)                          (3.10) (4.39)            1972-1996  
                                                                              
JO -0.884  0.726    -       -        -     0.394  0.048     -    0.1189   1.47
  (-0.66) (4.13)                          (1.16) (0.30)            1971-1996  
                                                                              
SY  0.258  0.353  0.115     -        -     0.487    -       -    0.2181   2.06
   (0.16) (1.93) (1.25)                   (2.19)                   1965-1996  
                                                                              
ID -1.759  0.754  0.474  -0.0019     -     0.947  1.449     -    0.1259   1.83
  (-4.05) (5.33) (3.39)  (-0.22)          (4.07) (1.92)            1962-1995  
                                                                              
MA -5.857  0.558  0.518     -        -     1.103  0.572     -    0.0720   1.53
  (-5.52) (5.19) (2.72)                   (5.13) (3.02)            1972-1997  
                                                                              
PA -0.979  0.427  0.610     -        -     0.587    -       -    0.0692   1.72
  (-2.39) (2.57) (2.37)                   (2.83)                   1976-1997  
                                                                              
PH -3.499  0.730  0.681  -0.0062     -     1.406    -       -    0.1143   1.11
  (-3.89) (6.96) (3.63)  (-1.20)          (4.01)                   1962-1997  
                                                                              
TH -2.598  0.239  0.527     -        -     1.359  1.075     -    0.0557   1.61
  (-9.34) (2.78) (5.72)                   (9.75) (6.82)            1962-1997  
                                                                              
CH -0.841  0.564    -       -        -     0.576    -       -    0.1470   1.50
  (-1.53) (2.58)                          (1.43)                   1983-1997  
                                                                              
AR    -    0.478    -       -        -     0.384    -       -    0.1638   2.08
          (1.90)                          (2.22)                   1992-1997  
                                                                              
CE -5.407  0.365    -       -        -     1.315    -       -    0.1424   1.47
  (-3.91) (2.16)                          (4.09)                   1977-1997  
                                                                              
ME -4.094  0.682    -       -        -     0.699  0.407     -    0.2002   1.70
  (-2.11) (5.38)                          (2.45) (1.12)            1961-1996  
                                                                              
PE    -    0.792    -       -        -     0.139    -       -    0.0917   1.83
          (3.42)                          (1.02)                   1992-1997  
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 2: Estimates
                                                
Equation 2:  log(C/POP) is the LHS variable                                   
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst     LHS-1     RS      RB   logY/POP A/PY*YS-1 RHO       SE     DW   
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA  -0.288   0.787     -     -0.0017~  0.237   0.010     -      0.0080   2.14 
   (-3.60) (13.10)           (-4.35)  (3.93)  (1.88)            1966.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
JA   0.047   0.764     -     -0.0013   0.212     -    -0.297    0.0101   2.04 
    (1.49) (16.21)           (-2.88)  (4.57)         (-3.24)    1967.3-1997.4 
                                                                              
AU  -0.518   0.277     -     -0.0032   0.761     -       -      0.0126   1.69 
   (-6.51)  (3.46)           (-2.59)  (8.72)                    1971.1-1995.4 
                                                                              
FR  -0.069   0.841  -0.0003     -      0.156     -       -      0.0069   2.24 
   (-1.10) (11.19)  (-0.91)           (1.89)                    1976.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
GE   0.005   0.893     -     -0.0016   0.080   0.012  -0.287    0.0075   2.06 
    (0.20) (37.70)           (-3.59)  (2.83)  (3.15) (-3.06)    1969.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
IT  -0.175   0.809  -0.0010     -      0.202     -     0.861    0.0034   1.28 
   (-1.08) (13.24)  (-3.04)           (2.97)         (12.25)    1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
NE   0.003   0.880     -     -0.0018   0.098     -       -      0.0083   2.46 
    (0.11) (16.12)           (-2.27)  (2.11)                    1978.2-1997.4 
                                                                              
ST   0.107   0.804     -     -0.0013~  0.111     -     0.688    0.0022   1.61 
    (1.53)  (8.41)           (-1.65)  (1.92)          (5.39)    1981.1-1996.4 
                                                                              
UK  -0.574   0.848  -0.0014     -      0.219   0.021     -      0.0104   2.48 
   (-5.28) (20.48)  (-4.15)           (4.39)  (3.51)            1966.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
FI  -0.039   0.844  -0.0009     -      0.152   0.014     -      0.0116   2.05 
   (-0.39) (14.79)  (-1.94)           (2.76)  (2.14)            1976.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
AS  -0.457   0.894  -0.0008     -      0.156   0.011     -      0.0077   2.21 
   (-2.61) (23.49)  (-3.01)           (3.38)  (2.05)            1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
SO   0.523   0.822  -0.0006~    -      0.097     -       -      0.0210   2.09 
    (2.74) (18.47)  (-1.76)           (2.77)                    1962.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
KO   0.093   0.878  -0.0006     -      0.101   0.012  -0.383    0.0146   1.92 
    (3.29) (28.44)  (-1.53)           (3.68)  (2.86) (-3.81)    1972.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst     LHS-1     RS      RB   logY/POP A/PY*YS-1 RHO       SE     DW   
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE  -0.146   0.538     -        -      0.454     -       -      0.0103   1.77 
   (-2.55)  (8.86)                    (7.19)                      1961-1996   
                                                                              
DE   0.265   0.465     -      0.0001   0.430   0.196     -      0.0203   1.47 
    (1.42)  (3.28)            (0.04)  (3.96)  (2.43)              1967-1996   
                                                                              
NO   0.289   0.574     -        -      0.315     -       -      0.0203   1.49 
    (3.54)  (4.38)                    (3.11)                      1962-1996   
                                                                              
SW   0.339   0.471  -0.0003     -      0.401   0.350     -      0.0116   1.72 
    (3.23)  (5.66)  (-0.31)           (5.94)  (4.92)              1965-1996   
                                                                              
GR   0.210   0.759     -        -      0.203   0.045     -      0.0155   1.56 
    (0.95)  (5.96)                    (1.33)  (0.46)              1964-1996   
                                                                              
IR   0.746   0.682     -     -0.0023   0.221     -       -      0.0256   1.44 
    (1.45)  (3.40)           (-1.19)  (1.70)                      1962-1996   
                                                                              
PO  -0.190   0.554     -        -      0.451   0.211     -      0.0331   2.20 
   (-1.49)  (7.16)                    (5.73)  (4.30)              1962-1996   
                                                                              
SP   0.029   0.467  -0.0006     -      0.497     -       -      0.0126   1.02 
    (0.40)  (5.13)  (-0.69)           (5.60)                      1964-1996   
                                                                              
NZ   0.002   0.431     -     -0.0032   0.548   0.059     -      0.0193   1.33 
            (4.50)           (-2.77)  (6.15)  (1.68)              1962-1996   
                                                                              
SA     -     0.855     -        -      0.074   0.125     -      0.1607   1.83 
           (11.43)                    (1.58)  (1.75)              1970-1996   
                                                                              
VE  -0.278   0.767     -        -      0.265     -       -      0.0756   1.82 
   (-0.31)  (7.83)                    (1.64)                      1963-1996   
                                                                              
CO   0.397   0.627     -        -      0.293   0.259     -      0.0151   2.36 
    (2.23)  (6.95)                    (3.82)  (4.81)              1972-1996   
                                                                              
JO  -2.184   0.356     -        -      0.953   0.189     -      0.0540   2.24 
   (-4.87)  (3.88)                    (7.33)  (3.17)              1971-1996   
                                                                              
SY   0.626   0.091     -        -      0.814     -       -      0.0598   1.57 
    (1.41)  (0.79)                    (7.60)                      1965-1996   
                                                                              
ID   0.279     -    -0.0016     -      0.604     -       -      0.0214   2.17 
    (9.49)          (-1.15)          (25.74)                      1962-1995   
                                                                              
MA  -0.228   0.660     -        -      0.347   0.214     -      0.0339   1.58 
   (-0.69)  (3.99)                    (2.69)  (2.65)              1972-1997   
                                                                              
PA   0.118   0.622     -        -      0.269     -       -      0.0310   1.50 
    (1.42)  (3.50)                    (1.96)                      1976-1997   
                                                                              
PH  -0.143   0.901  -0.0015     -      0.159   0.115     -      0.0220   1.83 
   (-0.91)  (9.24)  (-1.26)           (2.37)  (1.08)              1962-1997   
                                                                              
TH   0.060   0.460     -        -      0.448     -       -      0.0196   2.00 
    (2.89)  (5.74)                    (6.87)                      1962-1997   
                                                                              
CH  -0.440   0.287     -        -      0.635     -       -      0.0258   1.49 
   (-4.49)  (2.15)                    (5.31)                      1983-1997   
                                                                              
AR   1.356     -       -        -      0.805     -       -      0.0098   1.71 
    (2.14)                           (10.02)                      1992-1997   
                                                                              
CE     -     0.477     -        -      0.494     -       -      0.0450   1.24 
            (4.16)                    (5.30)                      1977-1997   
                                                                              
ME   0.902   0.071     -        -      0.791     -       -      0.0223   0.47 
    (4.99)  (0.58)                    (6.99)                      1961-1996   
                                                                              
PE     -     0.521     -        -      0.456     -       -      0.0196   1.42 
            (3.65)                    (3.38)                      1992-1997   
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 3: Estimates
                                                
Equation 3:  logI is the LHS variable                                         
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  logI-1     logY       RS       RB        SE     DW                 
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -0.624   0.878     0.158      -     -0.0014~   0.0230   1.44               
  (-3.22) (25.03)    (3.53)            (-1.40)                  1966.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
JA  0.375   0.918     0.044      -     -0.0051    0.0204   1.71               
   (3.77) (30.89)    (1.38)            (-4.26)                  1967.3-1997.4 
                                                                              
AU  0.236   0.871     0.073      -     -0.0106    0.0359   2.50               
   (1.61) (16.86)    (1.50)            (-2.98)                  1971.1-1995.4 
                                                                              
FR  0.158   0.968     0.004   -0.0017~    -       0.0137   1.54               
   (1.83) (35.20)    (0.14)   (-3.22)                           1976.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
GE -0.010   0.969     0.029   -0.0030~    -       0.0196   2.24               
  (-0.16) (38.89)    (1.18)   (-3.63)                           1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
IT  0.424   0.918     0.039   -0.0016~    -       0.0163   0.89               
   (2.30) (30.26)    (2.38)   (-3.79)                           1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
NE -0.213   0.753     0.223      -     -0.0076~   0.0260   2.45               
  (-1.17) (10.58)    (2.97)            (-3.03)                  1980.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
UK  0.049   0.846     0.131      -     -0.0039~   0.0272   2.11               
   (0.33) (21.46)    (3.60)            (-3.60)                  1966.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
AS -0.061   0.931     0.067   -0.0015     -       0.0268   1.68               
  (-0.44) (17.28)    (1.56)   (-1.90)                           1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
SO -0.660   0.938     0.123      -     -0.0078~   0.0394   2.34               
  (-2.05) (48.60)    (2.97)            (-3.52)                  1962.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
KO -0.745   0.819     0.234      -        -       0.0630   2.27               
  (-2.47) (15.44)    (3.13)                                     1972.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  logI-1     logY       RS       RB        SE     DW                 
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE -0.053   0.742     0.238      -     -0.0226    0.0521   1.95               
  (-0.18)  (8.13)    (2.86)            (-4.15)                    1962-1996   
                                                                              
GR  1.470   0.691     0.108      -        -       0.0828   1.55               
   (2.74)  (5.52)    (1.23)                                       1965-1996   
                                                                              
IR  0.364   0.786     0.145      -        -       0.0774   1.69               
   (1.19) (10.39)    (1.98)                                       1962-1996   
                                                                              
PO -0.723   0.457     0.563      -     -0.0105    0.0638   1.21               
  (-1.97)  (3.56)    (4.22)            (-3.33)                    1962-1996   
                                                                              
SP  0.018   0.715     0.254   -0.0090     -       0.0611   1.16               
   (0.04)  (6.66)    (2.05)   (-2.17)                             1964-1996   
                                                                              
SA -0.453   0.723     0.286      -        -       0.1777   1.64               
  (-0.50)  (5.65)    (1.22)                                       1970-1996   
                                                                              
VE -1.735   0.593     0.570   -0.0055     -       0.1632   1.14               
  (-1.49)  (4.79)    (2.47)   (-2.32)                             1963-1996   
                                                                              
CO -2.269   0.358     0.760      -        -       0.0709   1.46               
  (-2.95)  (2.06)    (3.65)                                       1972-1996   
                                                                              
JO  0.408   0.850     0.080      -        -       0.1658   1.29               
   (0.44)  (6.50)    (0.38)                                       1971-1996   
                                                                              
SY -2.810   0.536     0.638      -        -       0.2175   1.72               
  (-2.08)  (3.67)    (2.87)                                       1965-1996   
                                                                              
ID -2.313   0.526     0.665      -        -       0.0404   1.37               
  (-4.47)  (4.76)    (4.45)                                       1962-1996   
                                                                              
MA -1.897   0.642     0.493      -        -       0.0953   0.75               
  (-2.28)  (4.79)    (2.65)                                       1972-1997   
                                                                              
PA -1.224   0.217     0.763      -        -       0.0422   0.96               
  (-3.21)  (1.34)    (4.45)                                       1976-1997   
                                                                              
TH -1.804   0.455     0.709      -        -       0.0675   0.86               
  (-3.62)  (3.55)    (4.10)                                       1962-1997   
                                                                              
CH -1.615   0.273     0.832      -        -       0.0898   0.96               
  (-1.85)  (0.94)    (2.40)                                       1983-1997   
                                                                              
AR    -     0.205     0.679      -        -       0.0791   2.03               
           (0.86)    (3.39)                                       1992-1997   
                                                                              
PE    -     0.783     0.191      -        -       0.1327   1.74               
           (3.09)    (0.94)                                       1992-1997   
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 4: Estimates
                                                
Equation 4:  Y is the LHS variable                                            
                                                                              
Cty    Cnst     Y-1      X       V-1     RHO     q     a     b     SE     DW  
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA   -806.98   0.341   0.751  -0.2542   0.916  0.659 0.386 0.363  705.53  2.31
     (-0.27)  (6.04) (11.79)  (-2.97) (16.37)                    1966.1-1997.4
                                                                              
JA    312.32   0.121   0.920  -0.0760   0.430  0.879 0.086 0.527  232.65  2.01
      (1.98)  (4.00) (29.41)  (-4.62)  (5.05)                    1967.3-1997.4
                                                                              
AU     -7.52   0.372   0.670  -0.0194   0.250  0.628 0.031 2.173    2.69  1.98
     (-0.83)  (3.95)  (6.15)  (-0.60)  (2.02)                    1971.1-1995.4
                                                                              
GE     -3.93   0.143   0.879  -0.0265   0.797  0.857 0.031 0.855    2.58  2.05
     (-0.51)  (2.88) (15.75)  (-0.67) (10.32)                    1969.1-1997.4
                                                                              
IT -25854.70   0.468   0.678  -0.1011   0.383  0.532 0.190 1.441 1660.29  2.03
     (-2.72)  (3.49)  (4.33)  (-2.98)  (3.59)                    1971.1-1997.4
                                                                              
NE     -1.42   0.530   0.497  -0.0315     -    0.470 0.067 0.854    0.77  1.74
     (-1.15)  (7.39)  (6.97)  (-1.89)                            1978.2-1997.4
                                                                              
UK   -292.42   0.238   0.799  -0.0872   0.595  0.762 0.114 0.430  645.70  2.13
     (-0.37)  (3.94) (12.39)  (-2.44)  (6.42)                    1966.1-1997.4
                                                                              
AS    532.80   0.261   0.767  -0.0680   0.488  0.739 0.092 0.410  574.89  2.03
      (1.11)  (3.73) (10.29)  (-1.61)  (4.11)                    1971.1-1997.4
                                                                              
KO    395.90   0.167   0.842  -0.0187     -    0.833 0.022 0.447  405.21  1.63
      (3.72)  (2.42) (12.32)  (-1.49)                            1972.1-1997.1
                                                                              
Cty    Cnst     Y-1      X       V-1     RHO     q     a     b     SE     DW  
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
DE      2.17     -     1.017  -0.2306     -    1.000 0.231 0.075    3.86  1.32
      (0.53)         (91.21)  (-2.18)                              1967-1996  
                                                                              
GR     25.93   0.382   0.638  -0.1286     -    0.618 0.208 0.162  143.37  1.41
      (0.19)  (4.02)  (6.54)  (-1.92)                              1964-1996  
                                                                              
IR   -198.00   0.281   0.776  -0.1517     -    0.719 0.211 0.380  218.84  1.41
     (-1.11)  (3.12) (10.66)  (-2.25)                              1962-1996  
                                                                              
PO    -78.83   0.325   0.676  -0.0420     -    0.675 0.062 0.014  138.17  1.27
     (-0.64)  (2.12)  (4.07)  (-0.74)                              1962-1996  
                                                                              
SP   -549.00   0.076   1.006  -0.3238     -    0.924 0.350 0.253  128.95  1.84
     (-2.70)  (1.85) (29.19)  (-5.06)                              1964-1996  
                                                                              
CO   -812.65   0.231   0.907  -0.2093     -    0.769 0.272 0.658  108.47  1.86
     (-2.42)  (2.83) (12.01)  (-2.90)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
PA    -24.74   0.079   1.007  -0.2255     -    0.921 0.245 0.379    1.56  0.96
     (-5.15)  (2.18) (32.05)  (-4.69)                              1976-1997  
                                                                              
CE   -361.36     -     1.105  -0.3432     -    1.000 0.343 0.307  103.89  1.31
     (-2.60)         (35.55)  (-2.88)                              1977-1997  
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 5: Estimates
                                                
Equation 5:  logPY is the LHS variable                                        
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst   logPY-1  logW    logPM      DP        T       RHO     SE     DW   
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -0.253    0.886   0.045   0.026  -0.12858~  0.00035   0.553  0.0050   2.17 
  (-1.39)  (16.12)  (1.14)  (1.67)   (-4.31)    (1.60)  (6.41)  1966.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
JA -0.159    0.922   0.031   0.010   0.00059~  0.00009     -    0.0069   1.35 
  (-1.88)  (29.60)  (1.62)  (2.70)    (5.93)    (1.04)          1967.3-1997.4 
                                                                              
AU -0.419    0.771   0.062~  0.050~  0.00014   0.00122  -0.368  0.0101   1.94 
  (-2.78)  (10.96)  (2.30)  (3.03)    (0.61)    (2.85) (-3.37)  1971.1-1995.4 
                                                                              
FR -0.493    0.791   0.130   0.013~ -0.06722~  0.00017   0.304  0.0042   1.82 
  (-2.94)  (15.33)  (3.04)  (1.09)   (-1.85)    (1.20)  (2.72)  1976.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
GE -0.141    0.929   0.037   0.007~ -0.14982~ -0.00012     -    0.0034   1.84 
  (-1.47)  (23.00)  (2.15)  (2.22)   (-5.98)   (-0.93)          1969.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
IT -0.200    0.906   0.018   0.038  -0.19232   0.00093     -    0.0053   1.08 
  (-2.15)  (46.92)  (0.92)  (7.52)   (-7.58)    (7.71)          1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
NE -0.787    0.703   0.157   0.036      -      0.00049     -    0.0069   1.97 
  (-2.29)   (9.81)  (1.90)  (3.01)              (1.33)          1978.2-1997.4 
                                                                              
ST -0.040    0.937     -       -    -0.12836~  0.00035   0.030  0.0050   1.96 
  (-0.84)  (24.00)                   (-4.84)    (1.12)  (0.21)  1981.1-1996.4 
                                                                              
UK -0.474    0.839   0.155   0.044~ -0.24804~ -0.00135     -    0.0083   1.53 
  (-5.16)  (37.51)  (6.31)  (5.77)   (-5.18)   (-6.59)          1966.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
FI -0.681    0.800   0.188~  0.015  -0.12375  -0.00107     -    0.0078   1.90 
  (-2.66)  (11.91)  (2.83)  (1.69)   (-3.56)   (-3.15)          1976.1-1997.3 
                                                                              
AS -0.250    0.914   0.067   0.024~  0.00053~ -0.00038     -    0.0095   2.29 
  (-1.69)  (27.10)  (1.83)  (1.95)    (4.76)   (-1.67)          1971.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
SO -0.137    0.928     -     0.039~     -      0.00104     -    0.0178   2.18 
  (-3.56)  (72.41)          (3.82)              (4.32)          1962.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
KO -0.567    0.621   0.179~  0.135      -     -0.00153   0.409  0.0138   1.94 
  (-4.64)   (8.58)  (4.71)  (4.33)             (-2.25)  (2.85)  1972.1-1997.4 
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst   logPY-1  logW    logPM      DP        T       RHO     SE     DW   
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE -0.201    0.794     -     0.091   0.00213~  0.00697     -    0.0102   1.68 
  (-3.57)  (17.74)          (4.86)   (11.51)    (3.93)            1961-1996   
                                                                              
DE -1.100    0.614   0.251   0.075   0.00031~ -0.00133     -    0.0072   2.19 
  (-8.71)  (14.85)  (9.51)  (4.24)    (1.75)   (-1.12)            1967-1996   
                                                                              
NO -0.502    0.645   0.073   0.174  -0.38706~  0.00724     -    0.0229   1.23 
  (-1.79)   (6.05)  (0.88)  (2.28)   (-2.37)    (1.25)            1962-1996   
                                                                              
SW -0.374    0.861   0.135   0.083   0.00130~ -0.00708     -    0.0135   1.89 
  (-1.04)  (11.69)  (1.38)  (3.60)    (2.85)   (-1.66)            1965-1996   
                                                                              
GR -0.576    0.759   0.192   0.068   0.00294~ -0.00676     -    0.0205   2.19 
  (-2.73)  (35.06)  (2.77)  (1.21)    (4.66)   (-1.27)            1964-1996   
                                                                              
IR -1.660    0.522   0.430   0.015~ -0.08702~ -0.00943     -    0.0202   1.61 
  (-7.61)   (5.88) (10.18)  (0.28)   (-0.64)   (-3.39)            1962-1996   
                                                                              
PO -0.013    0.800     -     0.215  -0.23402~  0.00479     -    0.0201   1.73 
  (-0.10)  (21.71)         (10.63)   (-2.54)    (1.44)            1962-1996   
                                                                              
SP -0.838    0.695   0.216   0.042~ -0.38413~ -0.00295     -    0.0124   1.85 
  (-8.47)  (20.47) (13.78)  (2.00)   (-4.33)   (-1.16)            1964-1996   
                                                                              
NZ -1.089    0.634   0.245   0.127~ -0.15117~ -0.00007     -    0.0277   1.47 
  (-4.19)  (11.39)  (3.81)  (2.72)   (-1.00)   (-0.02)            1962-1996   
                                                                              
CO -3.069    0.389     -     0.147~ -0.36273~  0.10345     -    0.0173   2.43 
  (-4.49)   (4.01)          (4.66)   (-2.04)    (4.85)            1972-1996   
                                                                              
JO -0.151    0.634     -     0.269  -0.14109~  0.00821     -    0.0378   1.62 
  (-0.80)   (5.72)          (4.30)   (-1.74)    (1.32)            1971-1996   
                                                                              
SY -0.339    0.863     -     0.055      -      0.01350     -    0.0721   1.41 
  (-0.88)  (11.17)          (1.02)              (1.16)            1965-1996   
                                                                              
MA -0.529    0.366     -     0.227  -0.40316   0.01898     -    0.0330   1.78 
  (-4.02)   (2.78)          (3.51)   (-2.85)    (4.47)            1972-1997   
                                                                              
PA  0.401    0.904     -     0.191      -     -0.00968     -    0.0257   1.19 
   (1.19)   (7.63)          (2.26)             (-0.90)            1976-1997   
                                                                              
PH -0.237    0.735     -     0.167      -      0.01030     -    0.0532   1.58 
  (-0.91)  (10.70)          (5.12)              (1.28)            1962-1997   
                                                                              
TH -0.524    0.274     -     0.315  -0.18704   0.01822     -    0.0239   1.45 
  (-5.23)   (3.26)          (8.36)   (-1.89)    (6.00)            1962-1997   
                                                                              
CH -0.891    0.683     -       -    -0.38730   0.03173     -    0.0429   1.05 
  (-2.50)   (5.05)                   (-1.32)    (2.77)            1983-1997   
                                                                              
AR  0.421    0.460     -     0.282      -         -        -    0.0104   3.02 
   (3.41)   (7.98)          (1.26)                                1992-1997   
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 6: Estimates
                                                
Equation 6:  log[M1/(POP*PY)] is the LHS variable                             
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  LHS-1 log[M1-1/    RS   logY/POP  RHO       SE     DW              
                  (POP-1*PY)]                                                 
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -0.790     -     0.914  -0.0052   0.110     -     0.0257  2.17             
  (-4.67)         (51.21)  (-4.63)  (5.00)                       1968.1-1997.4
                                                                              
JA -0.100   0.943     -    -0.0056   0.020     -     0.0205  2.32             
  (-0.63) (43.82)          (-6.61)  (0.83)                       1967.3-1997.4
                                                                              
AU  0.130     -     0.950  -0.0029   0.017   0.250   0.0214  2.03             
   (1.55)         (19.59)  (-1.80)  (0.49)  (2.22)               1971.1-1995.4
                                                                              
GE -0.011     -     0.957  -0.0029   0.057   0.391   0.0114  2.01             
  (-0.20)         (39.78)  (-3.71)  (1.25)  (3.65)               1969.1-1997.4
                                                                              
IT  0.302     -     0.859  -0.0004     -       -     0.0169  1.24             
   (6.48)         (36.42)  (-0.90)                               1971.1-1997.4
                                                                              
ST  0.338     -     0.842  -0.0085   0.049     -     0.0240  2.20             
   (1.14)         (19.34)  (-4.13)  (0.47)                       1981.1-1996.4
                                                                              
FI -0.633     -     0.892  -0.0041   0.177  -0.270   0.0309  2.16             
  (-2.30)         (32.50)  (-3.67)  (3.50) (-2.79)               1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
AS -0.704     -     0.888  -0.0063   0.195     -     0.0230  1.89             
  (-3.73)         (38.95)  (-5.56)  (4.91)                       1971.1-1997.4
                                                                              
SO -0.015     -     0.984     -      0.021     -     0.0417  1.72             
  (-0.02)         (32.36)           (0.30)                       1967.1-1997.4
                                                                              
KO -0.062     -     0.834     -      0.152     -     0.0605  2.23             
  (-0.45)         (14.02)           (2.27)                       1972.1-1997.4
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  LHS-1 log[M1-1/    RS   logY/POP  RHO       SE     DW              
                  (POP-1*PY)]                                                 
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE  1.721   0.603     -    -0.0079   0.040     -     0.0417  1.96             
   (3.39)  (5.43)          (-2.42)  (1.15)                         1961-1996  
                                                                              
DE -1.181     -     0.662  -0.0097   0.514     -     0.0532  2.38             
  (-2.54)          (7.99)  (-2.60)  (3.44)                         1967-1996  
                                                                              
SW  1.316     -     0.663  -0.0003   0.033     -     0.0385  1.66             
   (3.15)          (3.24)  (-0.11)  (0.17)                         1971-1996  
                                                                              
IR  0.011   0.898     -    -0.0138   0.097     -     0.0552  1.85             
   (0.02) (11.05)          (-4.59)  (3.38)                         1962-1996  
                                                                              
PO  0.636   0.674     -    -0.0104   0.197     -     0.0554  1.82             
   (2.15)  (9.68)          (-5.31)  (4.12)                         1962-1996  
                                                                              
SP -0.239   0.749     -    -0.0084   0.255     -     0.0538  1.01             
  (-0.77)  (7.89)          (-3.01)  (2.43)                         1964-1996  
                                                                              
VE -2.869   0.652     -    -0.0049   0.819     -     0.1527  2.24             
  (-1.69)  (6.59)          (-2.95)  (2.18)                         1963-1996  
                                                                              
ID -0.909   0.562     -    -0.0016   0.525     -     0.0505  1.63             
  (-3.64)  (4.18)          (-0.49)  (3.84)                         1962-1996  
                                                                              
PA -0.820     -     0.281  -0.0153   0.746     -     0.0484  1.69             
  (-2.69)          (1.58)  (-2.22)  (3.47)                         1976-1997  
                                                                              
PH -0.356     -     0.764  -0.0075   0.230     -     0.0741  2.16             
  (-1.51)          (7.44)  (-2.04)  (2.46)                         1962-1997  
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 7: Estimates
                                                
Equation 7:  RS is the LHS variable                                           
                                                                              
Cty Cnst   RS-1   PCPY    ZZ   JJS S/(PY*YS)  GERS  USRS  RHO     SE      DW  
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -0.65  0.680    -     -7.0     -   -21.3~   -     0.44    -    0.840   1.77
 (-2.24)(15.21)       (-1.61)       (-3.27)        (8.08)        1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
JA -0.01  0.827  0.110  -11.7     -      -     -     0.11  0.345  0.657   2.02
 (-0.03)(17.43) (4.86)(-1.67)                      (2.42)  (3.10)1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
AU  0.83  0.783    -    -13.2     -    -8.1~  0.06   0.06    -    0.749   1.76
  (2.46) (9.80)       (-2.08)       (-1.95) (0.75) (1.60)        1972.2-1995.4
                                                                              
FR  0.48  0.625  0.091     -      -   -26.1~  0.24   0.13    -    0.844   1.70
  (1.17) (9.72) (2.62)              (-2.12) (4.25) (2.72)        1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
GE -0.11  0.757  0.181  -22.1     -      -     -     0.21    -    0.758   1.99
 (-0.43)(18.54) (3.64)(-5.95)                      (5.76)        1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
IT-39.60  0.675  0.155     -    42.3  -29.5~   -      -    0.258  1.044   1.98
 (-2.39)(12.12) (4.74)        (2.51)(-3.80)                (2.23)1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
NE  1.55  0.341    -    -23.6     -   -24.3~  0.49   0.13    -    0.815   1.81
  (3.30) (3.54)       (-3.73)       (-4.36) (5.56) (3.10)        1978.2-1997.4
                                                                              
ST  0.67  0.904    -    -13.6     -    -9.5~   -      -      -    0.806   1.66
  (2.11)(17.72)       (-1.75)       (-1.88)                      1981.1-1996.4
                                                                              
UK-26.49  0.735  0.016     -    27.0   -7.1~   -     0.30    -    1.017   1.55
 (-2.70)(14.10) (0.91)        (2.75)(-0.83)        (4.78)        1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
FI  0.45  0.831    -       -      -   -17.1~   -     0.15    -    1.010   1.74
  (1.04)(17.72)                     (-3.33)        (3.36)        1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
AS -0.10  0.823  0.061  -12.4     -   -23.8~   -     0.12    -    1.109   1.92
 (-0.23)(17.43) (2.01)(-1.88)       (-2.49)        (2.17)        1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
SO  0.10  0.909    -       -      -      -     -     0.14  0.619  0.867   2.04
  (0.10)(14.29)                                    (1.70)  (5.22)1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
Cty Cnst   RS-1   PCPY    ZZ   JJS S/(PY*YS)  GERS  USRS  RHO     SE      DW  
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE  2.68  0.139    -       -      -   -29.9   0.67    -      -    1.228   2.77
  (2.41) (1.04)                     (-3.71) (6.08)                 1972-1996  
                                                                              
DE  1.05  0.459    -       -      -   -46.0   0.62    -      -    2.345   2.43
  (0.55) (2.92)                     (-2.55) (2.90)                 1972-1996  
                                                                              
NO -1.06  0.799    -       -      -   -12.1   0.23   0.22    -    1.705   2.34
 (-0.64) (6.79)                     (-1.61) (1.30) (1.50)          1972-1996  
                                                                              
SW  1.23  0.643    -    -32.7     -   -71.3    -     0.35    -    1.698   2.41
  (0.85) (5.12)       (-1.10)       (-3.10)        (2.44)          1972-1996  
                                                                              
IR  6.64    -    0.071     -      -   -33.8   0.18   0.22    -    1.867   2.29
  (3.33)        (0.83)              (-1.71) (1.02) (0.74)          1973-1996  
                                                                              
PO -0.57  0.777  0.309  -31.8     -   -11.1    -      -      -    2.849   1.83
 (-0.34) (7.22) (3.05)(-1.69)       (-0.63)                        1972-1996  
                                                                              
SP  3.31  0.466  0.131     -      -    -8.7    -     0.26    -    3.122   2.34
  (1.26) (2.24) (1.03)              (-0.24)        (0.86)          1972-1996  
                                                                              
NZ  0.01  0.688  0.175     -      -   -35.9    -      -      -    2.501   1.79
         (6.24) (1.94)              (-2.80)                        1972-1996  
                                                                              
VE  1.93  0.776  0.174     -      -   -28.1    -      -      -    9.480   2.10
  (0.66) (6.67) (1.95)              (-1.15)                        1972-1996  
                                                                              
ID  2.64  0.525  0.216     -      -   -57.7    -      -      -    2.791   1.72
  (1.03) (2.85) (1.58)              (-1.32)                        1972-1996  
                                                                              
PA  1.03  0.597  0.139     -      -   -34.4    -      -      -    1.164   2.74
  (0.71) (3.78) (1.47)              (-1.93)                        1976-1997  
                                                                              
PH -0.50  0.763  0.171     -      -   -29.3    -     0.19    -    2.816   1.55
 (-0.16) (5.51) (2.85)              (-1.46)        (0.81)          1972-1997  
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 8: Estimates
                                                
Equation 8:  RB - RS-2 is the LHS variable                                    
                                                                              
Cty Cnst RB-1-RS-2 RS-RS-2 RS-1-RS-2 RHO      SE     DW                       
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA  0.098   0.920   0.328  -0.264     -     0.4285   2.04                     
   (2.09) (36.21)  (4.79) (-3.02)                         1962.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
JA  0.012   0.899   0.484  -0.537     -     0.4084   2.17                     
   (0.30) (26.76)  (5.17) (-3.78)                         1967.3-1997.4       
                                                                              
AU  0.085   0.931   0.271  -0.125   0.420   0.2627   1.98                     
   (1.28) (28.24)  (5.46) (-2.53)  (3.94)                 1971.1-1995.4       
                                                                              
FR  0.053   0.891   0.283  -0.112   0.371   0.4374   2.02                     
   (0.58) (11.82)  (3.15) (-1.36)  (2.85)                 1976.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
GE  0.064   0.944   0.304  -0.253     -     0.4207   1.70                     
   (1.17) (33.48)  (4.20) (-2.73)                         1969.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
IT -0.067   0.749   0.374  -0.213   0.468   0.5793   2.00                     
  (-0.63) (10.59)  (5.97) (-2.83)  (3.99)                 1971.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
NE  0.068   0.930   0.249  -0.133     -     0.4173   1.81                     
   (1.07) (27.19)  (4.20) (-1.98)                         1978.2-1997.4       
                                                                              
ST  0.015   0.965   0.166  -0.083   0.304   0.2828   1.87                     
   (0.25) (30.51)  (2.82) (-1.21)  (2.26)                 1981.1-1996.4       
                                                                              
UK  0.054   0.953   0.456  -0.489     -     0.5194   1.61                     
   (0.99) (40.75)  (5.33) (-4.37)                         1966.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
AS  0.054   0.941   0.304  -0.231     -     0.5444   1.78                     
   (0.86) (27.95)  (4.10) (-2.62)                         1971.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
SO  0.121   0.963   0.479  -0.698     -     0.5251   1.74                     
   (1.97) (46.55)  (4.76) (-4.38)                         1962.1-1997.4       
                                                                              
Cty Cnst RB-1-RS-2 RS-RS-2 RS-1-RS-2 RHO      SE     DW                       
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE  0.552   0.761   0.396     -       -     0.7680   1.58                     
   (1.96)  (6.77)  (5.23)                                   1961-1996         
                                                                              
DE  0.336   0.752   0.430     -       -     1.4022   1.70                     
   (1.01)  (5.38)  (4.04)                                   1967-1996         
                                                                              
NO  0.022   0.869   0.443     -       -     0.6988   1.72                     
   (0.19)  (7.64)  (5.26)                                   1962-1996         
                                                                              
SW  0.100   1.000   0.294     -       -     0.8607   2.49                     
   (0.55)  (8.03)  (3.17)                                   1965-1994         
                                                                              
IR  0.476   0.558   0.459     -       -     1.1861   1.52                     
   (2.05)  (4.71)  (5.98)                                   1962-1996         
                                                                              
PO  0.154   0.720   0.420     -       -     1.4811   1.72                     
   (0.61)  (6.30)  (4.68)                                   1962-1996         
                                                                              
NZ -0.227   0.745   0.385     -       -     1.0473   2.38                     
  (-1.01)  (6.27)  (4.90)                                   1962-1996         
                                                                              
PA  0.738   0.600   0.250     -       -     1.3078   1.84                     
   (2.26)  (3.54)  (1.04)                                   1976-1997         
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 9: Estimates
                                                
Equation 9:  log(E/E-1) or log(H/H-1) is the LHS variable                     
                                                                              
Cty Cnst  log(p/E-1)   log r   log s-1    RHO       SE      DW                
             or         or       or                                           
          log(p`/H-1)  log r`  log s`-1)                                      
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA   0.011    0.027   -0.435      -      0.297     0.0155   2.00              
    (1.58)   (1.05)  (-0.77)            (2.92)                   1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
JA  -0.082    0.048   -2.900   -0.880    0.216     0.0466   1.93              
   (-1.65)   (1.73)  (-2.93)  (-3.91)   (2.02)                   1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
AU   0.088    0.050      -        -        -       0.0056   0.93              
  (152.07)                                                       1972.2-1995.4
                                                                              
FR   0.178    0.290   -0.367      -      0.542     0.0160   2.27              
    (1.33)   (1.35)  (-0.25)            (1.73)                   1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
GE  -0.402    0.064   -2.430   -0.489    0.245     0.0486   1.98              
   (-1.52)   (1.54)  (-2.16)  (-2.29)   (2.23)                   1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
IT   0.353    0.050      -     -0.077      -       0.0358   1.33              
   (91.93)                    (-0.65)                            1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
NE   0.003    0.050   -0.595      -        -       0.0048   1.46              
    (5.02)           (-2.83)                                     1978.2-1997.4
                                                                              
ST  -0.049    0.260   -0.541      -        -       0.0181   1.60              
   (-3.60)   (3.77)  (-1.12)                                     1981.1-1996.4
                                                                              
UK   0.313    0.050   -1.504   -0.233      -       0.0447   1.52              
   (41.68)           (-1.90)  (-1.56)                            1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
FI   1.789    0.221   -2.912      -      0.679     0.0310   2.23              
    (1.25)   (1.24)  (-1.15)            (3.15)                   1976.1-1997.4
                                                                              
AS   0.009    0.073      -     -0.473    0.214     0.0389   2.03              
    (0.54)   (1.28)           (-1.49)   (1.22)                   1972.2-1997.4
                                                                              
SO   0.080    0.050      -     -0.336      -       0.0602   1.77              
    (9.54)                    (-1.95)                            1981.1-1997.4
                                                                              
Cty Cnst  log(p/E-1)   log r   log s-1    RHO       SE      DW                
             or         or       or                                           
          log(p`/H-1)  log r`  log s`-1)                                      
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE   0.519    0.170      -     -0.133      -       0.0304   1.42              
    (1.70)   (1.64)           (-0.89)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
DE   0.515    0.371      -        -        -       0.0236   1.39              
    (3.68)   (3.51)                                                1972-1996  
                                                                              
NO   0.131    0.082      -     -0.161      -       0.0490   1.58              
    (1.29)   (1.05)           (-0.96)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
SW   0.339    0.232   -1.285   -0.552      -       0.0724   1.81              
    (1.74)   (1.55)  (-0.56)  (-0.65)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
GR   1.277    0.274      -     -1.055      -       0.0486   1.88              
    (2.56)   (2.44)           (-2.74)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
IR   0.564    0.088      -     -0.110      -       0.0594   1.08              
    (0.71)   (0.66)           (-0.37)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
PO   1.189    0.258      -     -1.465      -       0.0764   0.94              
    (1.39)   (1.32)           (-3.56)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
SP   0.786    0.172      -        -        -       0.0737   1.32              
    (1.24)   (1.15)                                                1972-1996  
                                                                              
NZ   0.049    0.108   -3.496   -1.492      -       0.0809   1.23              
    (0.59)   (0.69)  (-1.98)  (-3.60)                              1972-1996  
                                                                              
VE  -1.849    0.625      -     -1.637      -       0.1950   1.42              
   (-2.60)   (3.23)           (-1.88)                              1984-1996  
                                                                              
JO  -0.053    0.103      -        -        -       0.1011   1.09              
   (-0.69)   (1.09)                                                1972-1996  
                                                                              
PH  -1.108    0.293      -        -        -       0.0925   0.86              
   (-1.78)   (1.87)                                                1972-1997  
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 10: Estimates
                                                
Equation 10:  logF is the LHS variable                                        
                                                                              
Cty   logEE    log r    RHO       SE     DW                                   
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA    0.9824   1.766   0.793    0.0096   2.28                                 
    ( 49.24)  (3.69) (11.64)                  1972.2-1997.3                   
                                                                              
JA    1.0009   1.247   0.389    0.0095   1.78                                 
   (1020.65)  (5.94)  (4.23)                  1972.2-1997.4                   
                                                                              
AU    1.0003   1.117   0.224    0.0060   2.09                                 
   (5280.75)  (8.75)  (2.16)                  1972.2-1995.4                   
                                                                              
FR    1.0008   1.128     -      0.0056   2.09                                 
   (5025.28)  (7.01)                          1976.1-1989.3                   
                                                                              
GE    1.0004   1.148   0.622    0.0032   2.19                                 
   (7309.50) (11.83)  (7.98)                  1972.2-1997.4                   
                                                                              
IT    0.9972   1.095     -      0.0100   2.01                                 
    (221.67)  (8.94)                          1978.1-1997.4                   
                                                                              
NE    0.9999   1.612     -      0.0099   2.05                                 
   (3268.23)  (4.75)                          1978.2-1990.4                   
                                                                              
ST    1.0001   0.855     -      0.0037   1.62                                 
  (11485.37) (18.11)                          1981.1-1996.4                   
                                                                              
UK    1.0014   1.279   0.398    0.0061   1.95                                 
    (367.20)  (5.53)  (2.76)                  1972.2-1984.4                   
                                                                              
FI    0.9982   1.396   0.694    0.0071   2.71                                 
    (398.74)  (4.80)  (7.25)                  1976.1-1989.3                   
                                                                              
AS    1.0075   1.169     -      0.0044   2.40                                 
    (360.34) (17.21)                          1977.1-1997.4                   
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 11: Estimates
                                                
Equation 11:  logPX - log[PW$*(E/E90)] is the LHS variable                    
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst      logPY    RHO1   RHO2        SE     DW                          
          -log[PW$*(E/E90)]                                                   
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA       -     0.710   1.333  -0.341     0.0136   2.17                        
             (15.31) (16.84) (-4.33)                   1962.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
JA       -     0.445   1.321  -0.335     0.0151   1.90                        
             (12.84) (14.54) (-3.76)                   1969.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
AU       -     0.623   0.803   0.205     0.0260   2.05                        
              (8.29)  (7.84)  (1.97)                   1971.1-1995.4          
                                                                              
FR       -     0.700   1.145  -0.141     0.0116   1.94                        
             (16.14) (10.65) (-1.30)                   1976.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
GE       -     0.822   1.233  -0.246     0.0080   1.97                        
             (36.37) (13.39) (-2.68)                   1969.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
IT       -     0.580   0.936   0.039     0.0174   1.98                        
             (12.03)  (9.54)  (0.39)                   1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
NE       -     0.594   1.279  -0.285     0.0182   2.03                        
              (8.93) (11.76) (-2.57)                   1978.2-1997.4          
                                                                              
ST       -     0.833   0.699   0.341     0.0102   1.98                        
             (15.62)  (3.74)  (1.75)                   1989.3-1996.4          
                                                                              
UK       -     0.687   1.097  -0.110     0.0156   1.99                        
             (18.78) (12.26) (-1.23)                   1966.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
FI       -     0.589   0.970  -0.069     0.0165   2.01                        
             (12.65)  (8.84) (-0.64)                   1976.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
AS       -     0.536   1.233  -0.252     0.0193   2.01                        
             (10.81) (11.61) (-2.38)                   1976.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
SO       -     0.707   0.811   0.167     0.0317   2.03                        
             (12.04)  (9.84)  (2.06)                   1962.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
KO       -     0.553   1.162  -0.203     0.0220   1.99                        
             (10.28) (11.42) (-2.02)                   1972.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst      logPY    RHO1   RHO2        SE     DW                          
          -log[PW$*(E/E90)]                                                   
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE       -     0.400   0.824   0.079     0.0222   2.01                        
              (7.32)  (4.63)  (0.47)                     1962-1996            
                                                                              
DE       -     0.597   1.110  -0.210     0.0190   1.70                        
             (10.89)  (6.01) (-1.25)                     1967-1996            
                                                                              
NO       -     0.588   1.267  -0.386     0.0762   1.87                        
              (1.34)  (6.40) (-1.87)                     1975-1996            
                                                                              
SW       -     0.461   1.146  -0.587     0.0315   1.77                        
              (7.92)  (6.42) (-3.32)                     1969-1996            
                                                                              
GR     0.030     -     0.638  -0.149     0.0513   1.93                        
      (1.68)          (3.48) (-0.81)                     1965-1996            
                                                                              
IR       -     0.503   1.149  -0.201     0.0256   1.97                        
              (7.26)  (6.49) (-1.18)                     1962-1996            
                                                                              
PO       -     0.112   1.177  -0.211     0.0334   1.98                        
              (1.23)  (6.78) (-1.23)                     1962-1996            
                                                                              
SP       -     0.482   1.160  -0.223     0.0382   1.81                        
              (4.89)  (6.67) (-1.36)                     1964-1996            
                                                                              
NZ       -     0.584   0.929  -0.039     0.0778   1.95                        
              (2.90)  (5.24) (-0.23)                     1962-1996            
                                                                              
CO       -     1.000   1.107  -0.220     0.1401   1.92                        
                      (5.33) (-1.02)                     1972-1996            
                                                                              
JO       -     0.443   0.879  -0.391     0.0495   2.15                        
              (7.57)  (4.67) (-2.16)                     1971-1996            
                                                                              
SY       -     1.000   1.255  -0.283     0.1805   2.09                        
                      (7.14) (-1.63)                     1965-1996            
                                                                              
ID       -     0.314   1.202  -0.209     0.0513   1.78                        
              (1.38)  (6.02) (-1.05)                     1970-1996            
                                                                              
MA       -     1.000   0.947  -0.089     0.1217   1.92                        
                      (4.65) (-0.43)                     1972-1997            
                                                                              
PA       -     0.696   0.734  -0.222     0.0502   2.04                        
              (8.06)  (3.16) (-1.04)                     1977-1997            
                                                                              
PH       -     0.323   0.967  -0.032     0.1050   1.96                        
              (1.49)  (5.37) (-0.18)                     1964-1997            
                                                                              
TH       -     0.685   1.029  -0.224     0.0696   1.76                        
              (2.53)  (5.81) (-1.26)                     1962-1997            
                                                                              
CH     0.061     -     0.996  -0.297     0.0469   2.05                        
      (1.37)          (3.60) (-1.08)                     1984-1997            
                                                                              
AR     0.071     -       -       -       0.0481   0.99                        
      (3.63)                                             1992-1997            
                                                                              
CE     0.078     -     1.111  -0.439     0.0481   2.18                        
      (2.35)          (5.06) (-1.98)                     1978-1997            
                                                                              
ME     0.075     -     1.125  -0.432     0.0378   2.11                        
      (3.57)          (7.05) (-2.66)                     1962-1996            
                                                                              
PE    -0.064     -       -       -       0.1367   0.48                        
     (-1.04)                                             1993-1997            
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 12: Estimates
                                                
Equation 12:  logW is the LHS variable                                        
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  logW-1  logPY     DW         T      RHO    logPY-1   SE     DW     
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA  0.166  0.963   1.032      -      0.00005     -    -0.993   0.0078   1.59  
   (1.63)(41.60) (14.56)              (0.74)                   1966.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
JA  0.239  0.942   0.756      -      0.00021     -    -0.710   0.0074   1.95  
   (4.00)(61.05)  (7.38)              (2.70)                   1971.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
AU  0.235  0.935   0.900      -      0.00036  -0.700  -0.852   0.0184   1.93  
   (1.37)(25.10)  (4.73)              (1.52) (-9.21)           1971.1-1995.4  
                                                                              
FR  0.403  0.896   1.359      -     -0.00002     -    -1.222   0.0082   1.69  
   (2.13)(17.73)  (5.53)             (-0.26)                   1976.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
GE  0.045  0.992   0.434  -0.10015~  0.00001  -0.337  -0.445   0.0116   2.18  
   (0.44)(36.21)  (0.99)   (-1.31)    (0.10) (-3.71)           1969.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
IT  0.454  0.914   1.270      -     -0.00037     -    -1.162   0.0121   1.63  
   (2.30)(23.88)  (8.25)             (-2.07)                   1971.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
NE  1.623  0.606   0.146      -      0.00123   0.466   0.129   0.0056   2.07  
   (3.96) (6.53)  (1.26)              (8.99)  (3.33)           1978.2-1997.4  
                                                                              
UK  0.312  0.922   0.802      -      0.00034     -    -0.725   0.0149   2.42  
   (1.89)(21.60)  (6.73)              (1.77)                   1966.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
FI  0.411  0.901   0.327   0.00036~  0.00030  -0.272  -0.236   0.0098   1.91  
   (1.97)(17.15)  (1.20)    (2.56)    (1.33) (-2.14)           1976.1-1997.3  
                                                                              
AS  0.412  0.904   0.619      -      0.00025     -    -0.531   0.0117   2.08  
   (2.41)(22.74)  (4.05)              (2.67)                   1971.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
KO  0.441  0.809   1.120  -0.42078~  0.00315     -    -0.900   0.0300   2.17  
   (3.81)(16.69) (12.66)   (-4.64)    (3.63)                   1972.1-1997.4  
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst  logW-1  logPY     DW         T      RHO    logPY-1   SE     DW     
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
DE  0.094  0.966   0.773   0.00126~  0.00188     -    -0.780   0.0137   2.30  
   (0.23)(10.35)  (5.10)    (3.93)    (2.01)                     1967-1996    
                                                                              
NO  0.631  0.798   0.657  -0.40249   0.01149     -    -0.577   0.0288   0.80  
   (1.75) (8.40)  (4.54)   (-2.37)    (2.85)                     1962-1996    
                                                                              
SW  1.516  0.661   0.254   0.00237   0.00210     -     0.082   0.0209   2.30  
   (3.69) (6.97)  (1.52)    (4.23)    (2.64)                     1965-1996    
                                                                              
GR -0.013  1.019   0.867      -     -0.00134     -    -0.893   0.0399   1.41  
  (-0.05)(14.45)  (4.26)             (-0.58)                     1964-1996    
                                                                              
IR  0.165  0.965   0.955      -      0.00052     -    -0.924   0.0272   1.86  
   (0.27) (6.12)  (5.39)              (0.15)                     1962-1996    
                                                                              
SP -0.001  1.031   0.935  -0.46540~ -0.00298     -    -0.973   0.0205   2.02  
         (13.41)  (4.28)   (-3.30)   (-2.38)                     1964-1996    
                                                                              
NZ  0.356  0.910   0.861   0.00155   0.00155     -    -0.794   0.0304   1.14  
   (0.88)(11.11)  (7.64)    (1.98)    (0.92)                     1962-1996    
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 13: Estimates
                                                
Equation 13:  log(J/J-1) is the LHS variable                                  
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst     T log(J/JMIN) logY/Y-1 logY-1/Y-2 RHO      SE     DW            
                     -1                                                       
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA  0.006  -0.00003  -0.147   0.429   0.168     -      0.0048   1.97          
   (2.86)   (-2.15) (-4.32)  (5.64)  (2.86)            1966.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
JA    -     0.00002  -0.093   0.216     -       -      0.0039   2.33          
  (-0.13)    (1.49) (-4.05)  (4.29)                    1967.3-1997.4          
                                                                              
AU -0.007   0.00006  -0.029   0.135   0.169     -      0.0061   2.30          
  (-2.06)    (2.31) (-0.91)  (1.66)  (2.96)            1971.1-1995.4          
                                                                              
FR  0.008  -0.00005  -0.074   0.505     -       -      0.0103   1.49          
   (1.11)   (-1.07) (-1.48)  (1.50)                    1977.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
GE  0.002  -0.00001  -0.130   0.110     -     0.520    0.0035   1.84          
   (0.67)   (-0.28) (-2.88)  (1.66)          (5.83)    1969.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
IT  0.003  -0.00001  -0.124   0.049     -       -      0.0058   2.22          
   (1.08)   (-0.49) (-3.92)  (0.56)                    1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
UK  0.004      -     -0.196   0.150     -     0.508    0.0029   2.08          
   (1.89)    (0.03) (-6.74)  (4.01)          (6.15)    1966.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
FI  0.027  -0.00018  -0.218   0.249   0.107     -      0.0052   1.73          
   (5.02)   (-5.50) (-5.91)  (5.40)  (2.36)            1977.1-1996.4          
                                                                              
AS  0.012  -0.00005  -0.253   0.116     -     0.331    0.0050   2.07          
   (3.24)   (-1.84) (-4.81)  (1.95)          (3.26)    1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst     T log(J/JMIN) logY/Y-1 logY-1/Y-2 RHO      SE     DW            
                     -1                                                       
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE -0.013   0.00031  -0.122   0.317     -       -      0.0078   1.06          
  (-2.46)    (1.69) (-0.96)  (3.85)                      1961-1992            
                                                                              
DE  0.011  -0.00030  -0.644   0.417     -       -      0.0134   1.43          
   (1.16)   (-0.98) (-4.04)  (3.19)                      1967-1996            
                                                                              
NO -0.007   0.00028  -0.269   0.444     -       -      0.0137   0.86          
  (-0.83)    (1.07) (-2.31)  (2.93)                      1962-1996            
                                                                              
SW  0.007  -0.00044  -0.186   0.504     -       -      0.0118   0.71          
   (0.78)   (-1.46) (-1.37)  (3.88)                      1969-1996            
                                                                              
IR -0.022   0.00080  -0.289   0.373     -       -      0.0113   1.63          
  (-4.30)    (3.74) (-3.95)  (4.67)                      1962-1996            
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 14: Estimates
                                                
Equation 14:  log(L1/POP1) is the LHS variable                                
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst      T      LHS-1   logW/PY   Z      RHO       SE     DW            
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -0.141  -0.00014   0.948    0.032   0.067     -     0.0043   2.00          
  (-2.86)   (-3.03) (42.69)   (2.73)  (2.24)           1966.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
JA -0.009  -0.00005   0.935      -     0.159     -     0.0028   2.16          
  (-1.49)   (-2.27) (26.62)           (1.49)           1967.3-1997.4          
                                                                              
AU -0.177  -0.00044   0.529    0.019   0.288     -     0.0035   2.02          
  (-3.93)   (-5.08)  (6.46)   (1.83)  (4.21)           1971.1-1995.4          
                                                                              
FR -0.141  -0.00008   0.920    0.028   0.115     -     0.0090   1.41          
  (-1.16)   (-0.85) (24.05)   (0.93)  (2.11)           1977.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
GE -0.030   0.00001   0.947      -     0.078     -     0.0028   1.83          
  (-3.85)    (0.58) (65.00)           (2.85)           1969.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
IT -0.015  -0.00011   0.927      -     0.070     -     0.0040   1.86          
  (-1.80)   (-2.25) (26.82)           (1.18)           1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
UK  0.022      -      0.907      -     0.054     -     0.0024   1.49          
   (3.17)   (-0.33) (32.37)           (2.39)           1966.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
FI -0.028  -0.00023   0.823      -     0.088     -     0.0047   2.38          
  (-3.29)   (-3.42) (16.59)           (3.42)           1977.1-1996.4          
                                                                              
AS -0.021  -0.00019   0.824      -     0.041     -     0.0034   2.21          
  (-4.15)   (-3.26) (17.06)           (2.08)           1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE -0.076  -0.00244   0.689      -     0.156     -     0.0059   2.12          
  (-2.74)   (-2.62)  (5.79)           (1.90)             1961-1992            
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6a: Equation 15: Estimates
                                                
Equation 15:  log(L2/POP2) is the LHS variable                                
                                                                              
Cty  Cnst      T      LHS-1   logW/PY   Z      RHO       SE     DW            
                                                                              
Quarterly equations:                                                          
                                                                              
CA -0.210  -0.00018   0.987    0.050   0.050     -     0.0063   2.10          
  (-1.88)   (-2.83) (64.77)   (2.10)  (1.15)           1967.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
IT -0.755   0.00055   0.692    0.071   0.357     -     0.0109   2.08          
  (-4.53)    (3.84) (10.04)   (3.75)  (1.73)           1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
ST -0.098   0.00030   0.916      -     0.210     -     0.0061   1.61          
  (-2.00)    (1.92) (24.17)           (2.34)           1981.1-1996.4          
                                                                              
FI -0.032  -0.00007   0.922      -     0.069     -     0.0049   2.53          
  (-2.14)   (-2.90) (32.17)           (2.53)           1977.1-1996.4          
                                                                              
AS -0.128   0.00035   0.886      -     0.092     -     0.0080   1.74          
  (-2.68)    (2.72) (21.27)           (1.97)           1971.1-1997.4          
                                                                              
Annual equations:                                                             
                                                                              
BE -0.151   0.00164   0.874      -     0.027     -     0.0079   2.00          
  (-1.40)    (1.68) (10.24)           (0.23)             1961-1992            
                                                                              
DE -0.281   0.00013   0.854    0.046   0.098     -     0.0132   1.64          
  (-0.81)    (0.09)  (7.76)   (0.63)  (0.59)             1967-1996            
                                                                              
                                                                              
Table 6b: Equation 1: Tests
 Equation 1:  log(M/POP) is the LHS variable                                  
                                                                              
       Lags      pe      logPY    RHO+       T      Leads      Stability      
      p-val    p-val     p-val   p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q      
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.183    0.030    0.051    0.265    0.409    0.859     8.25  6  8.635  
 JA    0.069    0.017    0.850    0.475    0.019    0.157     5.57  6  7.584  
 AU    0.266      -      0.001    0.168    0.080    0.198     5.22  5  4.314  
 FR    0.708    0.206    0.659    0.111    0.274    0.459     6.88  6  2.916  
 GE    0.004      -      0.016    0.060    0.001    0.941       -   -    -    
 IT    0.012    0.003    0.000    0.000    0.548    0.347    13.13  6  5.397  
 NE    0.942    0.255    0.308    0.140    0.513    0.435    13.85  6  2.047  
 ST    0.791    0.434      -      0.140    0.822    0.830     7.70  4  1.000  
 UK    0.029    0.728    0.231    0.476    0.988    0.209    10.04  6  8.635  
 FI    0.394    0.691    0.707    0.588    0.850    0.822     5.41  6  2.916  
 AS    0.668    0.779    0.410    0.408    0.725    0.023     6.09  6  5.397  
 SO    0.001    0.011    0.076    0.001    0.106    0.033    95.62  6 11.770  
 KO    0.021      -      0.052    0.001    0.540    0.270     7.11  4  4.840  
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.385    0.540    0.437    0.320    0.542    0.000     3.44  4  5.898  
 DE    0.273      -      0.111    0.372    0.000    0.005    12.23  5  3.449  
 NO    0.058      -        -      0.683    0.984    0.832    16.50  3  5.444  
 SW    0.310    0.058      -      0.633    0.238    0.845    12.51  5  4.193  
 GR    0.876      -        -      0.974    0.092    0.966     4.57  3  4.592  
 IR    0.632      -      0.577    0.022    0.902    0.641    13.33  5  5.444  
 PO    0.102    0.000      -      0.856    0.007    0.084    19.75  4  5.444  
 SP    0.002      -      0.923    0.338    0.284    0.114     7.43  5  4.592  
 NZ    0.728    0.279    0.309    0.388    0.231    0.975     3.37  5  5.444  
 SA    0.535      -        -      0.262    0.012    0.666    11.78  4  2.469  
 VE    0.644      -      0.085    0.450    0.109    0.794     3.72  5  5.009  
 CO    0.235      -        -      0.710    0.457    0.939     0.95  4  1.907  
 JO    0.006      -        -      0.215    0.102    0.064     4.18  4  2.179  
 SY    0.027      -      0.000    0.019    0.000    0.058    16.28  4  4.193  
 ID    0.900    0.006    0.802    0.576    0.528    0.468    10.36  6  5.009  
 MA    0.001      -      0.034    0.001    0.169    0.881    13.10  5  2.179  
 PA    0.104      -      0.763    0.421    0.855    0.766    11.90  4  1.200  
 PH    0.389    0.611    0.000    0.000    0.000    0.084    48.23  5  5.898  
 TH    0.021      -      0.618    0.112    0.893    0.629     6.15  5  5.898  
 CH    0.083      -        -        -      0.518    0.986       -   -    -    
 CE    0.009      -        -      0.761    0.037    0.713     1.04  3  1.000  
 ME    0.096      -        -      0.422    0.133    0.867     7.65  4  5.898  
Table 6b: Equation 2: Tests
 Equation 2:  log(C/POP) is the LHS variable                                  
                                                                              
       Lags      pe       RHO+       T      Leads      Stability              
      p-val    p-val     p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q              
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.002    0.844    0.020    0.974    0.001    20.14  5  8.635           
 JA    0.000    0.087    0.000    0.498    0.008    34.43  5  2.223           
 AU    0.000    0.010    0.000    0.177    0.435     5.78  4  4.314           
 FR    0.000    0.231    0.131    0.264    0.406     9.68  4  2.916           
 GE    0.001    0.574    0.132    0.349    0.023       -   -    -             
 IT    0.001    0.020    0.002    0.229    0.129     4.64  5  5.397           
 NE    0.105    0.064    0.069    0.029    0.622     8.47  4  2.047           
 ST    0.012    0.410    0.003    0.072    0.281     3.51  5  1.000           
 UK    0.000    0.659    0.025    0.212    0.492     4.88  5  8.635           
 FI    0.260    0.283    0.001    0.397    0.116     7.08  5  2.916           
 AS    0.462    0.466    0.044    0.008    0.233     5.85  5  5.397           
 SO    0.114    0.003    0.204    0.226    0.556    97.00  4 11.770           
 KO    0.403    0.597    0.002    0.500    0.191    16.16  6  4.840           
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.310      -      0.831    0.381    0.580     2.97  3  5.898           
 DE    0.012    0.818    0.004    0.064    0.543     5.52  5  3.449           
 NO    0.182      -      0.403    0.001    0.824     4.36  3  5.444           
 SW    0.562    0.931    0.549    0.804    0.617     3.25  5  4.193           
 GR    0.332      -      0.230    0.000    0.170    16.65  4  4.592           
 IR    0.023    0.292    0.331    0.332    0.103    32.27  4  5.444           
 PO    0.981    0.635    0.640    0.368    0.206     2.42  4  5.444           
 SP    0.003    0.002    0.004    0.000    0.417    19.11  4  4.592           
 NZ    0.206    0.993    0.057    0.457    0.271    11.69  5  5.444           
 SA    0.080      -      0.643    0.098    0.554     1.75  3  2.469           
 VE    0.000      -      0.926    0.019    0.332     9.11  3  5.009           
 CO    0.391      -      0.084    0.160    0.135     1.74  4  1.000           
 JO    0.289      -      0.409    0.454    0.089     4.93  4  2.179           
 SY    0.013      -      0.231    0.068    0.417     2.71  3  4.193           
 ID    0.227    0.943    0.157    0.785    0.814     1.12  3  5.009           
 MA    0.221      -      0.500    0.167    0.861     8.63  4  2.179           
 PA    0.059      -      0.185    0.845    0.482    16.77  3  1.200           
 PH    0.243    0.212    0.709    0.001    0.289     8.68  5  5.898           
 TH    0.866      -      0.943    0.865    0.137     2.67  3  5.898           
 CH    0.496      -        -      0.015    0.003       -   -    -             
 CE    0.012      -      0.154    0.000    0.066     6.42  3  1.000           
 ME    0.000      -      0.000    0.069    0.231    16.93  3  5.898           
Table 6b: Equation 3: Tests
 Equation 3:  logI is the LHS variable                                        
                                                                              
       Lags      pe       RHO+       T      Leads      Stability              
      p-val     p-val     p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q             
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.000    0.195    0.095    0.025    0.008     4.70  4  8.635           
 JA    0.000    0.013    0.000    0.095    0.010    19.09  4  7.415           
 AU    0.000    0.651    0.000    0.353    0.423    27.55  4  4.314           
 FR    0.029    0.087    0.001    0.000    0.009    14.12  4  2.916           
 GE    0.000      -      0.218    0.507    0.029       -   -    -             
 IT    0.000    0.000    0.000    0.000    0.030     9.27  4  5.397           
 NE    0.003    0.814    0.067    0.006    0.034     2.37  4  1.477           
 UK    0.018    0.900    0.139    0.000    0.185     5.34  4  8.635           
 AS    0.099    0.742    0.027    0.065    0.193     9.78  4  5.397           
 SO    0.103    0.254    0.328    0.001    0.047    96.72  4 11.770           
 KO    0.147      -      0.315    0.316    0.210     9.60  3  4.840           
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.011    0.071    0.906    0.019    0.515     8.00  4  5.444           
 GR    0.000      -      0.477    0.639    0.072     3.45  3  3.650           
 IR    0.773      -      0.989    0.033    0.655     6.16  3  4.592           
 PO    0.001    0.865    0.018    0.039    0.867     4.19  4  5.444           
 SP    0.000    0.056    0.000    0.809    0.093     8.78  4  4.592           
 SA    0.237      -      0.894    0.096    0.440     1.29  3  2.469           
 VE    0.000    0.000    0.019    0.000    0.641    14.14  4  5.009           
 CO    0.021      -      0.001    0.398    0.598     0.09  3  1.907           
 JO    0.000      -      0.008    0.677    0.239     9.32  3  2.179           
 SY    0.001      -      0.005    0.000    0.624    24.08  3  4.193           
 ID    0.045      -      0.075    0.542    0.910    19.40  3  5.444           
 MA    0.000      -      0.000    0.000    0.520     6.38  3  2.179           
 PA    0.007      -      0.637    0.996    0.041     6.12  3  1.200           
 TH    0.000      -      0.000    0.000    0.179     3.08  3  5.898           
 CH    0.000      -        -      0.030    0.035       -   -    -             
Table 6b: Equation 4: Tests
 Equation 4:  Y is the LHS variable                                           
                                                                              
       Lags      RHO+       T      Leads      Stability                       
      p-val     p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q                       
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.082    0.148    0.876    0.006    13.24  5  8.635                    
 JA    0.256    0.263    0.024    0.138    16.39  5  7.584                    
 AU    0.593    0.212    0.862    0.448     3.56  5  4.314                    
 GE    0.249    0.734    0.177    0.199       -   -    -                      
 IT    0.052    0.150    0.033    0.000    10.94  5  5.397                    
 NE    0.327    0.339    0.090    0.266    15.56  4  2.047                    
 UK    0.012    0.168    0.945    0.001    11.74  5  8.635                    
 AS    0.155    0.194    0.003    0.229     5.51  5  5.397                    
 KO    0.079    0.209    0.089    0.444     3.38  4  4.442                    
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 DE    0.073    0.143    0.107    0.594     1.97  3  3.449                    
 GR    0.048    0.102    0.511    0.608    10.74  4  4.592                    
 IR    0.177    0.153    0.006    0.521     4.07  4  4.592                    
 PO    0.009    0.006    0.974    0.024    10.12  4  5.444                    
 SP    0.888    0.720    0.598    0.667     4.93  4  3.812                    
 CO    0.943    0.065    0.177    0.021     6.25  4  1.907                    
 PA    0.174    0.102    0.005    0.469    14.83  4  1.200                    
 CE    0.074    0.186    0.050    0.603    25.67  3  1.000                    
Table 6b: Equation 5: Tests
 Equation 5:  logPY is the LHS variable                                       
                                                                              
       Lags-1   Lags-2    RHO+    Leads      Stability                        
       p-val   p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q                        
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    9.900    9.900    0.419    0.511    14.86  7  8.635                    
 JA    0.000    0.000    0.000    0.000    61.64  6  7.584                    
 AU    0.444    0.821    0.080    0.692     3.28  7  4.314                    
 FR    0.074    0.028    0.377    0.000     9.62  7  2.916                    
 GE    0.042    0.023    0.006    0.416       -   -    -                      
 IT    0.000    0.000    0.000    0.000    16.61  6  5.397                    
 NE    0.994    0.269    0.042    0.192    10.78  5  2.047                    
 ST    0.320    0.430    0.047      -       2.92  5  1.000                    
 UK    0.012    0.034    0.043    0.001    18.82  6  8.635                    
 FI    0.805    0.824    0.731    0.373     9.15  6  2.812                    
 AS    0.001    0.002    0.097    0.011    17.69  6  5.397                    
 SO    0.369    0.142    0.101      -      96.72  4 11.770                    
 KO    0.896    0.712    0.332    0.713     4.61  6  4.840                    
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.000    0.000    0.800      -      12.06  5  5.898                    
 DE    0.159    0.094    0.081    0.075     4.40  6  3.104                    
 NO    0.008    0.000    0.007    0.155    17.99  6  5.444                    
 SW    0.977    0.657    0.468    0.168     5.23  6  4.193                    
 GR    0.463    0.253    0.930    0.081     8.28  6  4.592                    
 IR    0.717    0.072    0.304    0.121     6.73  6  5.009                    
 PO    0.851    0.031    0.934      -      15.10  5  5.444                    
 SP    0.701    0.316    0.220    0.526    19.51  6  3.812                    
 NZ    0.000    0.002    0.280    0.066    12.45  6  5.444                    
 CO    0.223    0.047    0.015      -       2.60  5  1.907                    
 JO    0.609    0.636    0.648      -      12.30  5  2.179                    
 SY    0.022    0.095    0.042      -      13.91  4  4.193                    
 MA    0.056    0.000    0.234      -      15.84  5  2.179                    
 PA    0.074    0.111    0.220      -      15.81  4  1.200                    
 PH    0.001    0.002    0.006      -      44.38  4  5.898                    
 TH    0.382    0.000    0.002      -       5.70  5  5.898                    
 CH    0.014      -        -        -         -   -    -                      
Table 6b: Equation 6: Tests
 Equation 6:  log(M1/(POP*PY)) is the LHS variable                            
                                                                              
      N vs R    Lags     RHO+       T        Stability                        
       p-val   p-val    p-val     p-val      AP (df) q                        
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.450    0.442    0.006    0.536     7.28  4  7.249                    
 JA    0.043    0.047    0.009    0.245     5.35  4  7.584                    
 AU    0.673    0.826    0.706    0.010     9.05  5  4.314                    
 GE    0.263    0.062    0.003    0.000       -   -    -                      
 IT    0.000    0.139    0.000    0.000    20.13  3  5.397                    
 ST    0.581    0.264    0.352    0.226     1.90  4  1.000                    
 FI    0.034    0.769    0.007    0.007     6.91  5  2.916                    
 AS    0.199    0.831    0.379    0.125     8.66  4  5.397                    
 SO    0.779    0.341    0.193    0.002     4.99  3  7.926                    
 KO    0.301    0.562    0.321    0.030     2.10  3  4.840                    
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.156    0.307    0.571    0.001     7.73  4  3.449                    
 DE    0.008    0.584    0.113    0.142     4.77  4  3.449                    
 SW    0.473    0.089    0.151    0.055     1.51  4  2.179                    
 IR    0.263    0.015    0.524    0.018     3.00  4  5.444                    
 PO    0.737    0.380    0.285    0.003     5.14  4  5.444                    
 SP    0.301    0.000    0.001    0.111     6.81  4  4.592                    
 VE    0.853    0.449    0.017    0.007    13.95  4  5.009                    
 ID    0.224    0.238    0.355    0.181    12.77  4  5.444                    
 PA    0.926    0.432    0.931    0.120     2.22  4  1.200                    
 PH    0.359    0.109    0.534    0.233     5.25  4  5.898                    
Table 6b: Equation 7: Tests
 Equation 7:  RS is the LHS variable                                          
                                                                              
       Lags      RHO+      T        Stability                                 
      p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q                                 
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.001    0.004    0.218     7.62  5  4.706                             
 JA    0.138    0.106    0.848     9.36  6  4.706                             
 AU    0.133    0.031    0.823    23.93  6  3.698                             
 FR    0.022    0.122    0.031     5.60  6  2.916                             
 GE    0.299    0.003    0.040     7.32  5  4.706                             
 IT    0.203    0.033    0.026     5.36  6  4.706                             
 NE    0.389    0.000    0.016     5.01  6  2.047                             
 ST    0.117    0.029    0.889     8.55  4  1.000                             
 UK    0.038    0.145    0.033     4.40  6  4.706                             
 FI    0.281    0.437    0.780     3.83  4  2.916                             
 AS    0.576    0.309    0.082     7.69  6  4.706                             
 SO    0.041    0.168    0.010    13.87  4  4.706                             
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.087    0.031    0.677     2.47  4  1.907                             
 DE    0.051    0.679    0.997     0.81  4  1.907                             
 NO    0.504    0.060    0.564     2.81  5  1.907                             
 SW    0.339    0.081    0.119     6.52  5  1.907                             
 IR    0.689    0.277    0.743     4.97  5  1.653                             
 PO    0.598    0.255    0.014     7.69  5  1.907                             
 SP    0.373    0.433    0.194     5.76  5  1.907                             
 NZ    0.177    0.093    0.014    10.63  4  1.907                             
 VE    0.880    0.937    0.282     0.75  4  1.907                             
 ID    0.790    0.598    0.822     4.77  4  1.907                             
 PA    0.178    0.003    0.707     1.46  4  1.200                             
 PH    0.132    0.674    0.160    15.00  5  1.621                             
Table 6b: Equation 8: Tests
 Equation 8:  RB - RB-2 is the LHS variable                                   
                                                                              
       Restr    Lags     RHO+       T      Leads      Stability               
       p-val   p-val    p-val     p-val    p-val      AP (df) q               
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.016    0.042    0.225    0.208    0.021     3.16  4 11.770           
 JA    0.212    0.532    0.342    0.992    0.398     3.34  4  7.584           
 AU    0.355    0.093    0.108    0.056    0.397     2.09  5  4.314           
 FR    0.266    0.401    0.580    0.516    0.487     7.05  5  2.916           
 GE    0.091    0.011    0.130    0.274    0.131     5.52  4  6.601           
 IT    0.884    0.577    0.719    0.733    0.771    14.23  5  5.397           
 NE    0.250    0.219    0.028    0.850    0.338     1.96  4  2.047           
 ST    0.002    0.004    0.041    0.322    0.887    10.92  5  1.000           
 UK    0.792    0.515    0.175    0.014    0.524     5.92  4  8.635           
 AS    0.086    0.119    0.101    0.065    0.102     8.95  4  5.397           
 SO    0.154    0.122    0.069    0.320    0.186    96.72  4 11.770           
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.087    0.039    0.330    0.006    0.906     6.36  3  5.898           
 DE    0.760    0.738    0.665    0.005    0.733     8.78  3  3.449           
 NO    0.073    0.071    0.755    0.038    0.676     4.85  3  5.444           
 SW    0.065    0.501    0.024    0.317    0.299     3.77  3  3.449           
 IR    0.803    0.529    0.087    0.069    0.969     5.65  3  5.444           
 PO    0.001    0.001    0.620    0.015    0.251     3.88  3  5.444           
 NZ    0.198    0.000    0.002    0.496    0.433     2.35  3  4.176           
 PA    0.511    0.832    0.946    0.053    0.119     2.01  3  1.200           
Table 6b: Equation 9: Tests
 Equation 9:  logE or logH is the LHS variable                                
                                                                              
       Restr    Lags     RHO+       T        Stability                        
       p-val   p-val    p-val     p-val      AP (df) q                        
                                                                              
 Quarterly equations:                                                         
                                                                              
 CA    0.714    0.076    0.022    0.198     1.80  4  4.706                    
 JA    0.395    0.773    0.538    0.928     3.71  5  4.706                    
 AU    0.000    0.238    0.000    0.000    20.76  1  3.698                    
 FR    0.096    0.300    0.008    0.973     5.70  4  2.916                    
 GE    0.046    0.191    0.147    0.149     5.63  5  4.706                    
 IT    0.000    0.031    0.041    0.000     8.34  2  4.706                    
 NE    0.425    0.852    0.054    0.009     5.55  2  2.047                    
 ST    0.247    0.011    0.185    0.548     1.00  3  1.000                    
 UK    0.001    0.077    0.138    0.001     4.58  3  4.706                    
 FI    0.212    0.709    0.641    0.492     0.31  4  2.916                    
 AS    0.355    0.179    0.331    0.340     2.00  4  4.706                    
 SO    0.290    0.611    0.111    0.291     1.41  2  1.193                    
                                                                              
 Annual equations:                                                            
                                                                              
 BE    0.305    0.153    0.337    0.638     1.43  3  1.621                    
 DE    0.031    0.151    0.658    0.040     5.07  2  1.907                    
 NO    0.427    0.286    0.045    0.166     6.27  3  1.907                    
 SW    0.521    0.576    0.123    0.302     1.45  4  1.907                    
 GR    0.115    0.332    0.909    0.116     2.23  3  1.907                    
 IR    0.000    0.008    0.006    0.000    10.34  3  1.907                    
 PO    0.051    0.000    0.000    0.036     2.39  3  1.907                    
 SP    0.010    0.087    0.042    0.024     3.09  2  1.907                    
 NZ    0.256    0.000    0.011    0.567     2.15  4  1.907                    
 VE    0.077    0.939    0.364    0.075       -   -    -                      
 JO    0.042    0.012    0.000    0.029     2.17  2  1.907                    
 PH    0.538    0.001    0.000    0.580     4.65  2  2.179                    
Table 6b: Equation 11: Tests
Table 6b: Equation 12: Tests
Table 6b: Equation 13: Tests
Table 6b: Equation 14: Tests
Table 6b: Equation 15: Tests