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"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1996 Update," November 6, 1998, unpublished.

Paper: html file

This is the fifth update I wrote examining the effects of economic events on votes for president. See 1978 for the original paper. The complete list of papers is here: Papers on Voting. The current and past predictions are here: Vote Predictions.

No specification changes were made for this update from the previous update. The equation was simply reestimated using updated data.