[position in research by date] [position in research by subject]

"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 1996 Update," November 6, 1998, unpublished.
html file (24KB).



This is my fifth update of 1978#2. The earlier updates are 1982#1, 1988#5, 1990#3, 1996#1. The later updates are 2002#4, 2006#3. See also 1996#2 for a less technical discussion.

No specification changes were made for this update from the previous update. The equation was simply reestimated using updated data.