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"The Effect of Economic Events on Votes for President: 2000 Update," November 1, 2002, unpublished.

Paper: html file

This is the sixth update I wrote examining the effects of economic events on votes for president. See 1978 for the original paper. The complete list of papers is here: Papers on Voting. The current and past predictions are here: Vote Predictions.

No specification changes were made for this update from the previous update, which itself was unchanged from the update before that. The equation was simply reestimated using updated data.