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Forecasting Record Tables: January 28, 2021
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Table 1: Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of
Real GDP
Table 2: Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth
Rate of the GDP Deflator
Table 3: Predicted and Actual Values of the
Unemployment Rate
Table 4: Predicted and Actual Values for Four-Quarter
Real Growth
Table 5: Predicted and Actual Values for Four-Quarter
Inflation
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Table 1: Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of
Real GDP |
Table 1
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
833 834 841 842 843 844 851 852 853 854
Actual: 8.2 8.6 8.1 7.1 3.9 3.3 3.9 3.6 6.2 3.0
Forecast Dated:
1. Sept.23, 1983 8.2 7.5 7.0 6.8 7.0 6.5 5.9 5.3 4.5 3.9
2. Dec. 3, 1983 7.1 6.3 5.8 5.4 4.8 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.0
3. Jan. 28, 1984 5.8 6.6 6.3 5.9 5.3 4.6 3.9 3.2
4. April 24, 1984 5.6 4.7 4.4 4.0 3.7 3.4 3.0
5. July 26, 1984 6.0 5.2 4.3 3.7 3.0 2.5
6. Oct. 24, 1984 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.3 3.3
7. Jan. 24, 1985 5.1 4.8 4.6 3.9
8. April 20, 1985 4.3 3.7 4.0
9. July 22, 1985 4.2 4.5
10. Oct. 22, 1985 4.4
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
853 854 861 862 863 864
Actual: 6.2 3.0 3.8 1.8 3.9 2.2
Forecast Dated:
9. July 22, 1985 4.2 4.5 3.9 3.9 3.4 3.0
10. Oct. 22, 1985 4.4 4.4 4.3 3.6 3.0
11. Jan. 27, 1986 4.2 4.1 3.3 2.7
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
862 863 864 871 872 873 874 881 882 883 884
Actual: 1.8 3.9 2.2 3.0 4.4 3.5 7.0 2.1 5.4 2.4 5.4
Forecast Dated:
12. April 21, 1986 4.9 4.2 3.6 3.6 3.4 3.2 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1
13. July 28, 1986 4.7 4.3 4.4 3.8 4.2 3.9 3.6 3.3 3.1 3.0
14. October 25, 1986 4.2 3.4 3.4 4.2 4.1 3.8 3.8 3.2 3.0
15. January 25, 1987 3.0 3.7 3.2 4.2 4.1 3.9 3.5 3.2
16. May 4, 1987 2.6 4.1 3.1 3.3 3.7 3.6 3.5
17. July 30, 1987 2.7 3.2 3.1 4.0 4.1 3.9
18. October 31, l987 3.1 2.2 2.7 2.8 3.1
19. January 30, 1988 2.4 3.0 2.9 3.4
20. April 28, 1988 2.9 3.0 3.3
21. July 29, 1988 3.3 3.7
22. October 28, 1988 3.6
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
882 883 884 891 892 893 894 901 902 903 904
Actual: 5.4 2.4 5.4 4.1 3.1 3.0 0.8 4.4 1.5 0.3 -3.6
Forecast Dated:
20. April 28, 1988 2.9 3.0 3.3 3.4 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7
21. July 29, 1988 3.3 3.7 3.5 3.1 2.8 2.4 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4
22. October 28, 1988 3.6 3.9 3.6 3.2 2.9 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7
23. January 31, 1989 4.7 3.2 3.2 3.1 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6
24. April 27, 1989 2.8 3.2 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.4 2.2
25. July 30, 1989 1.9 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.5
26. October 29, 1989 2.7 3.0 2.9 2.6 2.7
27. January 31, 1990 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.8
28. May 1, 1990 2.4 3.1 3.0
29. July 31, 1990 0.9 1.9
30. November 2, 1990 0.3
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
902 903 904 911 912 913 914 921 922 923 924
Actual: 1.5 0.3 -3.6 -1.9 3.2 2.0 1.4 4.9 4.4 4.0 4.2
Forecast Dated:
28. May 1, 1990 2.4 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
29. July 31, 1990 0.9 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.0 2.9
30. November 2, 1990 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.0
31. January 30,1991 2.6 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9
32. April 29, 1991 1.3 1.8 3.1 3.8 4.0 4.0 3.8
33. July 27, 1991 0.9 2.6 3.4 3.6 3.6 3.4
34. October 30, 1991 1.9 3.1 3.9 3.5 3.4
35. February 2, 1992 2.2 3.2 3.4 4.2
36. April 30, 1992 4.4 4.0 4.6
37. August 5, 1992 2.4 3.3
38. November 6, 1992 2.5
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
922 923 924 931 932 933 934 941 942 943 944
Actual: 4.4 4.0 4.2 0.7 2.4 1.9 5.6 3.9 5.5 2.4 4.7
Forecast Dated:
36. April 30, 1992 4.4 4.0 4.6 4.8 3.9 3.2 2.8 2.3 2.0 2.3 2.4
37. August 5, 1992 2.4 3.3 4.0 4.1 3.8 3.4 2.9 2.5 2.6 2.6
38. November 6, 1992 2.5 3.3 3.5 3.8 3.6 3.3 2.9 2.6 2.3
39. January 31, 1993 4.1 2.5 2.7 3.2 3.1 3.1 2.9 2.7
40. May 1, 1993 2.1 2.4 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.5 3.2
41. September 5, 1993 2.8 2.8 2.4 2.1 2.1 2.2
42. November 1, 1993 3.0 3.2 3.0 2.6 2.4
43. February 2, 1994 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.5
44. May 2, 1994 2.8 2.6 2.8
45. August 2, 1994 1.2 2.1
46. November 1, 1994 1.2
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
942 943 944 951 952 953 954 961 962 963 964
Actual: 5.5 2.4 4.7 1.4 1.2 3.5 2.7 3.0 6.8 3.6 4.2
Forecast Dated:
44. May 2, 1994 2.8 2.6 2.8 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.2
45. August 2, 1994 1.2 2.1 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1
46. November 1, 1994 1.2 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
47. January 30, 1995 1.2 1.6 2.3 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9
48. April 29, 1995 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4
49. July 29, 1995 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.5
50. October 28, 1995 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.3 2.2
51. February 29, 1996 2.7 2.8 2.3 2.3
52. May 3, 1996 3.7 2.6 2.3
53. August 2, 1996 2.9 2.2
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
962 963 964 971 972 973 974 981 982 983 984
Actual: 6.8 3.6 4.2 2.6 6.8 5.1 3.5 4.1 3.7 5.1 6.6
Forecast Dated:
52. May 3, 1996 3.7 2.6 2.3 2.2 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.4
53. August 2, 1996 2.9 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6
54. November 1, 1996 1.9 2.5 2.8 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.5
55. February 1, 1997 3.0 2.5 2.3 2.1 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.4
56. May 9, 1997 3.7 2.7 2.4 2.0 1.8 1.9 2.0
57. August 4, 1997 1.1 2.2 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.2
58. November 11, 1997 3.5 3.3 2.6 2.3 2.1
59. January 30, 1998 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.2
60. April 30, 1998 2.2 3.0 2.8
61. July 31, 1998 2.3 2.5
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
982 983 984 991 992 993 994 001 002 003 004
Actual: 3.7 5.1 6.6 3.8 3.1 5.3 7.0 1.5 7.5 0.5 2.5
Forecast Dated:
60. April 30, 1998 2.2 3.0 2.8 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1
61. July 31, 1998 2.3 2.5 1.5 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1
62. November 3, 1998 1.6 0.5 0.8 0.8 1.0 1.6 1.8 2.0 2.3
63. January 30, 1999 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3
64. May 1, 1999 4.1 3.0 2.2 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7
65. July 30, 1999 4.0 2.9 3.0 3.2 2.9 2.6
66. November 5, 1999 3.7 3.1 3.3 3.2 3.1
67. January 29, 2000 3.2 3.2 2.8 2.3
68. April 28, 2000 5.4 3.8 2.4
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
002 003 004 011 012 013 014 021 022 023 024
Actual: 7.5 0.5 2.5 -1.1 2.4 -1.6 1.1 3.5 2.4 1.8 0.6
Forecast Dated:
68. April 28, 2000 5.4 3.8 2.4 2.3 1.9 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9
69. July 31, 2000 3.4 2.4 2.3 2.0 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 2.0 2.2
70. October 30, 2000 2.4 3.3 2.6 2.1 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.2
71. January 31, 2001 0.8 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 1.9 2.0 2.1
72. April 27, 2001 3.4 2.4 1.5 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.6
73. July 27, 2001 2.0 1.4 1.7 1.9 1.8 1.9
74. November 1, 2001 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1
75. January 31, 2002 3.1 1.8 1.8 2.8
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
022 023 024 031 032 033 034 041 042 043 044
Actual: 2.4 1.8 0.6 2.2 3.5 7.0 4.7 2.2 3.1 3.8 4.1
Forecast Dated:
76. April 27, 2002 3.6 2.6 3.4 3.1 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5
77. July 31, 2002 1.8 2.8 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.7 2.7
78. October 31, 2002 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.7 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8
79. January 30, 2003 2.7 2.7 2.8 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7
80. April 25, 2003 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8
81. July 31, 2003 4.1 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.0 2.9
82. October 31, 2003 5.8 3.9 3.1 2.9 2.7
83. February 5, 2004 5.2 3.7 3.2 3.0
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
042 043 044 051 052 053 054 061 062 063 064
Actual: 3.1 3.8 4.1 4.5 1.9 3.6 2.6 5.4 0.9 0.6 3.5
Forecast Dated:
84. April 29, 2004 4.9 3.7 3.2 2.9 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7
85. July 31, 2004 3.5 3.6 3.3 3.2 3.0 3.0 2.7 2.5 2.5 2.5
86. October 29, 2004 3.6 3.1 2.9 2.9 2.9 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6
87. January 28, 2005 4.1 3.2 2.9 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4
88. April 29, 2005 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.5
89. July 30, 2005 4.0 2.9 2.3 2.4 2.2 2.3
90. October 31, 2005 5.2 2.9 2.3 2.2 2.0
91. January 28, 2006 3.5 2.8 2.6 2.6
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
062 063 064 071 072 073 074 081 082 083 084
Actual: 0.9 0.6 3.5 0.9 2.3 2.2 2.5 -2.3 2.1 -2.1 -8.4
Forecast Dated:
92. April 28, 2006 3.6 2.9 2.7 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7
93. July 28, 2006 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8
94. October 27, 2006 2.1 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8
95. January 31, 2007 3.2 2.9 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.7
96. April 27, 2007 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7
97. July 27, 2007 4.1 3.7 3.4 3.1 2.8 2.7
98. October 31, 2007 3.4 3.2 3.1 2.8 2.7
99. January 31, 2008 3.1 2.5 2.7 2.6
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
082 083 084 091 092 093 094 101 102 103 104
Actual: 2.1 -2.1 -8.4 -4.4 -0.6 1.5 4.5 1.5 3.7 3.0 2.0
Forecast Dated:
100. April 30, 2008 3.2 3.5 2.6 3.3 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.5
101. July 31, 2008 2.8 3.5 3.2 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6
102. October 30, 2008 -0.1 0.1 1.7 2.3 2.5 2.5 3.0 3.2 3.1
103. February 5, 2009 -1.8 -0.3 0.6 1.2 2.8 3.7 3.9 3.7
104. April 30, 2009 0.6 0.8 1.0 2.7 3.5 3.7 1.7
105. August 24, 2009 0.2 0.8 3.1 4.4 5.0 3.3
106. October 31, 2009 3.3 3.8 4.4 4.7 3.0
107. January 30, 2010 3.0 4.3 4.9 3.3
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
102 103 104 111 112 113 114 121 122 123 124
Actual: 3.7 3.0 2.0 -1.0 2.9 -0.1 4.7 3.2 1.7 0.5 0.5
Forecast Dated:
108. April 30, 2010 3.6 4.4 3.1 3.1 3.7 4.3 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.3 4.1
109. July 30, 2010 2.5 2.9 3.1 3.8 4.4 4.0 4.1 4.3 4.3 4.1
110. October 29, 2010 0.8 2.7 3.7 4.6 4.4 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.4
111. January 29, 2011 5.4 4.2 4.3 3.9 2.9 2.8 3.0 3.1
112. April 28, 2011 4.3 5.0 4.7 3.8 3.6 3.7 3.6
113. July 31, 2011 3.0 5.4 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.4
114. October 30, 2011 3.9 3.2 3.7 4.4 4.9
115. January 28, 2012 2.8 4.1 4.7 5.3
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
122 123 124 131 132 133 134 141 142 143 144
Actual: 1.7 0.5 0.5 3.6 0.5 3.2 3.2 -1.1 5.5 5.0 2.3
Forecast Dated:
116. April 27, 2012 3.9 5.0 5.5 5.0 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8
117. July 27, 2012 3.4 4.8 4.8 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.1
118. October 26, 2012 3.5 4.2 4.4 4.7 4.9 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.4
119. January 30, 2013 3.6 4.2 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.3
120. April 26, 2013 2.7 3.9 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.4
121. August 5, 2013 3.3 4.9 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.5
122. November 11, 2013 2.4 3.4 3.6 4.2 4.5
123. January 30, 2014 3.2 4.3 4.4 4.3
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
142 143 144 151 152 153 154 161 162 163 164
Actual: 5.5 5.0 2.3 3.8 2.7 1.5 0.6 2.3 1.3 2.2 2.5
Forecast Dated:
124. April 30, 2014 2.6 4.0 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.6 3.4 3.2
125. July 31, 2014 2.6 4.5 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.4 3.2
126. October 30, 2014 3.8 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.5 3.4
127. January 31, 2015 2.8 3.3 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6
128. April 29, 2015 1.6 2.9 3.6 3.9 4.0 4.0 3.8
129. July 31, 2015 2.1 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.9 3.9
130. October 31, 2015 3.2 2.6 2.8 3.1 3.4
131. January 30, 2016 2.0 2.5 3.1 3.5
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
162 163 164 171 172 173 174 181 182 183 184
Actual: 1.3 2.2 2.5 2.3 1.7 2.9 3.9 3.8 2.7 2.1 1.3
Forecast Dated:
132. April 28, 2016 1.5 2.5 3.2 3.6 3.8 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5
133. July 29, 2016 2.7 2.9 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5
134. October 30, 2016 2.8 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4 3.4
135. January 27, 2017 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.4
136. April 28, 2017 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.3
137. July 30, 2017 2.9 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9
138. October 29, 2017 2.7 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0
139. January 28, 2018 4.0 3.3 2.9 2.7
Table 1 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
182 183 184 191 192 193 194 201 202 203 204
Actual: 2.7 2.1 1.3 2.9 1.5 2.6 2.4
Forecast Dated:
140. April 28, 2018 2.7 2.4 2.5 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2
141. July 29, 2018 3.5 3.0 2.6 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9
142. October 27, 2018 2.9 2.9 2.8 2.4 2.2 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9
143. February 28, 2019 1.7 1.5 1.2 1.1 1.6 1.9 2.2 2.3
144. April 26, 2019 1.2 1.5 1.5 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0
145. July 26, 2019 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.0
146. October 30, 2019 2.4 2.8 2.7 2.4 2.2
147. January 30, 2020 3.5 2.8 2.4 2.3
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Table 2: Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of
the GDP Deflator |
Table 2
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
833 834 841 842 843 844 851 852 853 854
Actual: 4.4 2.8 4.1 3.5 3.6 3.0 4.0 2.6 2.4 2.2
Forecast Dated:
1. Sept. 23, 1983 5.3 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.5 5.8 6.1 6.3 6.5
2. Dec. 3, 1983 4.4 4.8 5.1 5.3 5.6 5.9 6.1 6.2 6.3
3. Jan. 28, 1984 4.2 4.5 4.9 5.2 5.6 5.8 6.1 6.3
4. April 24, 1984 4.4 4.7 5.0 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.9
5. July 26, 1984 4.6 4.9 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.7
6. Oct. 24, 1984 4.1 4.3 4.4 4.6 4.7
7. Jan. 24, 1985 4.1 4.4 4.7 5.0
8. April 20, 1985 3.5 3.8 4.0
9. July 22, 1985 3.2 3.5
10. Oct. 22, 1985 3.9
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
853 854 861 862 863 864
Actual: 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.5 1.7 2.8
Forecast Dated:
9. July 22, 1985 3.2 3.5 3.7 3.9 4.2 4.4
10. Oct. 22, 1985 3.9 3.6 3.6 3.8 3.9
11. Jan. 27, 1986 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
862 863 864 871 872 873 874 881 882 883 884
Actual: 1.5 1.7 2.8 2.0 2.8 2.9 3.4 3.2 3.9 4.9 3.5
Forecast Dated:
12. April 21, 1986 2.6 2.8 2.9 2.9 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.3
13. July 28, 1986 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9
14. October 25, 1986 2.4 2.2 2.0 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.4
15. January 25, 1987 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.7
16. May 4, 1987 2.5 2.6 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.4
17. July 30, 1987 4.6 3.2 3.4 3.5 3.7 3.9
18. October 31, l987 2.7 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.8
19. January 30, 1988 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.0
20. April 28, 1988 3.2 3.4 3.6
21. July 29, 1988 4.1 3.9
22. October 28, 1988 3.6
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
882 883 884 891 892 893 894 901 902 903 904
Actual: 3.9 4.9 3.5 4.2 4.3 3.0 2.9 4.4 4.5 3.5 3.0
Forecast Dated:
20. April 28, 1988 3.2 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5
21. July 29, 1988 4.1 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9 4.9
22. October 28, 1988 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8
23. January 31, 1989 3.1 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.6
24. April 27, 1989 4.0 4.5 4.7 4.9 5.1 5.2 5.3
25. July 30, 1989 4.1 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.9
26. October 29, 1989 3.6 3.8 4.0 4.2 4.3
27. January 31, 1990 4.2 3.9 3.8 3.9
28. May 1, 1990 5.1 4.4 4.3
29. July 31, 1990 2.5 2.7
30. November 2, 1990 3.5
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
902 903 904 911 912 913 914 921 922 923 924
Actual: 4.5 3.5 3.0 4.0 3.0 3.1 2.4 1.6 2.3 2.0 2.8
Forecast Dated:
28. May 1, 1990 5.1 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5
29. July 31, 1990 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.9
30. November 2, 1990 3.5 3.7 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1
31. January 30, 1991 3.3 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3
32. April 29, 1991 2.2 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.1 3.3
33. July 27, 1991 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3
34. October 30, 1991 2.9 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5
35. February 2, 1992 3.1 2.8 2.9 3.0
36. April 30, 1992 3.0 2.9 2.9
37. August 5, 1992 2.0 2.1
38. November 6, 1992 1.5
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
922 923 924 931 932 933 934 941 942 943 944
Actual: 2.3 2.0 2.8 2.3 2.4 2.1 2.5 1.9 1.9 2.3 2.2
Forecast Dated:
36. April 30, 1992 3.0 2.9 2.9 3.3 3.5 3.7 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1
37. August 5, 1992 2.0 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6
38. November 6, 1992 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.8
39. January 31, 1993 1.3 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.2
40. May 1, 1993 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.7 2.9
41. September 5, 1993 2.4 2.4 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7
42. November 1, 1993 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4
43. February 2, 1994 1.6 1.6 1.9 2.2
44. May 2, 1994 1.6 1.8 2.0
45. August 2, 1994 2.3 2.1
46. November 1, 1994 2.6
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
942 943 944 951 952 953 954 961 962 963 964
Actual: 1.9 2.3 2.2 2.2 1.9 1.8 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.3 2.2
Forecast Dated:
44. May 2, 1994 1.6 1.8 2.0 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4
45. August 2, 1994 2.3 2.1 2.1 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.5 2.6
46. November 1, 1994 2.6 2.4 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.6
47. January 30, 1995 2.1 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4
48. April 29, 1995 2.6 2.5 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.8
49. July 29, 1995 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5 2.5
50. October 28, 1995 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5
51. February 29, 1996 1.5 1.8 2.0 2.1
52. May 3, 1996 1.7 1.9 2.0
53. August 2, 1996 1.7 2.0
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
962 963 964 971 972 973 974 981 982 983 984
Actual: 1.9 1.3 2.2 1.2 2.0 1.7 1.3 0.6 0.9 1.7 1.1
Forecast Dated:
52. May 3, 1996 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.5
53. August 2, 1996 1.7 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4
54. November 1, 1996 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3
55. February 1, 1997 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.0 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2
56. May 9, 1997 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 1.9
57. August 4, 1997 1.5 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8
58. November 11, 1997 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.8 1.9
59. January 30, 1998 1.1 1.6 1.7 1.8
60. April 30, 1998 1.0 1.4 1.5
61. July 31, 1998 1.4 1.8
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
982 983 984 991 992 993 994 001 002 003 004
Actual: 0.9 1.7 1.1 1.5 1.5 1.4 2.2 2.8 2.4 2.3 2.1
Forecast Dated:
60. April 30, 1998 1.0 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.9 1.9 2.0
61. July 31, 1998 1.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.9
62. November 3, 1998 1.5 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.7
63. January 30, 1999 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.7
64. May 1, 1999 1.4 1.6 1.7 1.7 1.8 1.9 2.0
65. July 30, 1999 1.8 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.2 2.3
66. November 5, 1999 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8 2.8
67. January 29, 2000 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1
68. April 28, 2000 3.5 3.6 3.7
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
002 003 004 011 012 013 014 021 022 023 024
Actual: 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.5 2.8 1.2 1.3 1.1 1.7 1.9 2.3
Forecast Dated:
68. April 28, 2000 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.1 3.1
69. July 31, 2000 2.7 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3 3.2 3.2
70. October 30, 2000 3.4 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3
71. January 31, 2001 3.3 3.2 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6
72. April 27, 2001 3.2 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.7 2.7
73. July 27, 2001 2.7 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6
74. November 1, 2001 1.5 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.6
75. January 31, 2002 1.6 1.6 1.8 1.9
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
022 023 024 031 032 033 034 041 042 043 044
Actual: 1.7 1.9 2.3 1.8 1.2 2.2 2.3 3.0 3.3 2.6 3.1
Forecast Dated:
76. April 27, 2002 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4
77. July 31, 2002 1.4 1.5 1.7 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4 2.4
78. October 31, 2002 1.9 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4
79. January 30, 2003 1.8 1.9 2.1 2.1 2.3 2.3 2.4 2.4
80. April 25, 2003 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.2 2.3 2.4 2.4
81. July 31, 2003 1.9 2.0 2.2 2.3 2.5 2.5
82. October 31, 2003 2.0 2.5 2.8 2.9 3.0
83. February 5, 2004 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.6
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
042 043 044 051 052 053 054 061 062 063 064
Actual: 3.3 2.6 3.1 3.2 2.6 3.7 3.4 2.8 3.4 2.8 1.5
Forecast Dated:
84. April 29, 2004 2.6 2.8 3.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.0 2.9 2.8 2.8
85. July 31, 2004 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1
86. October 29, 2004 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.2 3.1 3.1
87. January 28, 2005 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.5 3.4 3.4 3.3
88. April 29, 2005 3.7 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.5 3.5 3.5
89. July 30, 2005 4.2 4.2 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8
90. October 31, 2005 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.2
91. January 28, 2006 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.0
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
062 063 064 071 072 073 074 081 082 083 084
Actual: 3.4 2.8 1.5 4.0 2.6 2.1 1.6 2.0 1.7 3.0 1.3
Forecast Dated:
92. April 28, 2006 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5 3.4
93. July 28, 2006 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.8 3.8
94. October 27, 2006 4.8 4.5 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.5
95. January 31, 2007 4.4 4.2 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.6 3.5
96. April 27, 2007 4.2 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.5
97. July 27, 2007 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1
98. October 31, 2007 4.7 4.6 4.5 4.3 4.2
99. January 31, 2008 3.3 4.5 4.3 4.0
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
082 083 084 091 092 093 094 101 102 103 104
Actual: 1.7 3.0 1.3 -0.0 -0.6 0.4 1.4 0.9 2.0 1.2 2.3
Forecast Dated:
100. April 30, 2008 3.4 4.4 4.1 3.9 3.7 3.6 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.0 2.8
101. July 31, 2008 5.6 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.2 4.0 3.8 3.6
102. October 30, 2008 5.5 5.1 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.4 4.1 4.0 3.9
103. February 5, 2009 2.6 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.5 2.7 2.9
104. April 30, 2009 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2
105. August 24, 2009 -0.5 -0.4 -0.2 0.3 0.9 1.6
106. October 31, 2009 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.1
107. January 30, 2010 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.5
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
102 103 104 111 112 113 114 121 122 123 124
Actual: 2.0 1.2 2.3 2.2 2.7 2.6 0.6 2.5 1.6 2.1 2.1
Forecast Dated:
108. April 30, 2010 1.5 1.8 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 3.4 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.0
109. July 30, 2010 0.8 1.6 1.8 2.1 2.4 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.5
110. October 29, 2010 0.8 1.0 1.3 1.6 2.0 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2
111. January 29, 2011 1.9 2.3 2.6 2.9 3.2 3.3 3.4 3.5
112. April 28, 2011 3.0 3.2 3.5 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0
113. July 31, 2011 2.7 3.6 3.7 3.6 3.7 3.8
114. October 30, 2011 2.5 3.1 3.1 3.2 3.4
115. January 28, 2012 1.9 2.1 2.3 2.6
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
122 123 134 131 132 133 134 141 142 143 144
Actual: 1.6 2.1 2.1 1.6 1.2 1.9 2.4 1.6 2.2 1.7 0.6
Forecast Dated:
116. April 27, 2012 2.3 2.7 2.9 3.3 3.4 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9
117. July 27, 2012 2.1 2.3 2.7 2.8 3.0 3.2 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7
118. October 26, 2012 1.9 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.7 2.9 3.1 3.3 3.4
119. January 30, 2013 2.3 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1 3.2 3.3
120. April 26, 2013 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.7 2.9 3.0 3.1
121. August 5, 2013 1.8 2.5 2.7 2.8 2.9 3.0
122. November 11, 2013 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.2 2.4
123. January 30, 2014 2.1 2.4 2.5 2.6
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
142 143 144 151 152 153 154 161 162 163 164
Actual: 2.2 1.7 0.6 -0.4 2.2 1.3 0.0 -0.3 2.6 1.3 2.2
Forecast Dated:
124. April 30, 2014 2.2 2.4 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.8 2.8
125. July 31, 2014 2.5 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.6
126. October 30, 2014 2.8 2.8 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7
127. January 31, 2015 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0 2.0
128. April 29, 2015 1.6 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.4 1.4 1.4
129. July 31, 2015 1.0 1.3 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2
130. October 31, 2015 1.2 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.3
131. January 30, 2016 1.6 1.5 1.4 1.3
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
162 163 164 171 172 173 174 181 182 183 184
Actual: 2.6 1.3 2.2 1.9 1.3 2.1 2.7 2.4 3.2 1.9 1.8
Forecast Dated:
132. April 28, 2016 1.2 1.1 1.0 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.2
133. July 29, 2016 1.4 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1 1.1
134. October 30, 2016 1.3 1.2 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.1
135. January 27, 2017 1.5 1.3 1.3 1.1 1.0 1.0 1.0 1.0
136. April 28, 2017 1.9 1.8 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4
137. July 30, 2017 1.7 1.7 1.6 1.5 1.5 1.4
138. October 29, 2017 1.9 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8
139. January 28, 2018 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.3
Table 2 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Deflator
182 183 184 191 192 193 194 201 202 203 204
Actual: 3.2 1.9 1.9 1.0 2.6 1.4 1.4
Forecast Dated:
140. April 28, 2018 2.4 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2 2.2
141. July 29, 2018 2.8 2.5 2.5 2.5 2.4 2.4 2.3 2.3 2.2 2.2
142. October 27, 2018 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.4
143. February 28, 2019 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.2 2.1 2.0 2.0 2.0
144. April 26, 2019 2.5 2.4 2.3 2.2 2.1 2.1 2.0
145. July 26, 2019 2.8 2.7 2.6 2.6 2.5 2.5
146. October 30, 2019 2.7 2.6 2.5 2.4 2.3
147. January 30, 2020 2.2 2.2 2.1 1.9
|
|
Table 3: Predicted and
Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate |
Table 3
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
833 834 841 842 843 844 851 852 853 854
Actual: 9.4 8.5 7.9 7.5 7.5 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.1
Forecast Dated:
1. Sept. 23, 1983 9.6 9.3 9.1 9.0 8.8 8.6 8.4 8.3 8.1 8.0
2. Dec. 3, 1983 9.1 8.8 8.5 8.3 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.7 7.5
3. Jan. 22, 1984 8.4 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5
4. April 24, 1984 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.9 7.8 7.7
5. July 26, 1984 7.6 7.7 7.6 7.6 7.6 7.5
6. Oct. 24, 1984 7.7 7.8 7.9 7.9 7.9
7. Jan. 25, 1985 7.1 7.0 6.8 6.7
8. April 20, 1985 7.3 7.3 7.3
9. July 22, 1985 7.3 7.2
10. Oct. 22, 1985 7.2
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
853 854 861 862 863 864
Actual: 7.2 7.1 7.0 7.2 7.0 6.8
Forecast Dated:
9. July 22, 1985 7.3 7.2 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7
10. Oct. 22, 1985 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.6
11. Jan. 27, 1986 6.9 6.7 6.6 6.6
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
862 863 864 871 872 873 874 881 882 883 884
Actual: 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.6 6.3 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.5 5.5 5.4
Forecast Dated:
12. April 21, 1986 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.3 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.6 5.5 5.4
13. July 28, 1986 7.3 7.3 7.3 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.3
14. October 25, 1986 7.1 7.2 7.3 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.2 7.1 7.0
15. January 25, 1987 6.9 6.9 7.0 7.0 7.0 6.9 6.8 6.7
16. May 4, 1987 6.5 6.3 6.3 6.3 6.2 6.1 6.1
17. July 30, 1987 6.1 6.0 6.0 5.8 5.7 5.5
18. October 31, 1987 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 5.9
19. January 30, 1988 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.4
20. April 28, 1988 5.5 5.3 5.0
21. July 29, 1988 5.3 5.1
22. October 28, 1988 5.2
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
882 883 884 891 892 893 894 901 902 903 904
Actual: 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.7 6.1
Forecast Dated:
20. April 28, 1988 5.5 5.3 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2
21. July 29, 1988 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8
22. October 28, 1988 5.2 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.1 4.1
23. January 31, 1989 5.0 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.2
24. April 27, 1989 4.9 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.2 4.2
25. July 30, 1989 5.2 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.5 4.5
26. October 29, 1989 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.5 4.4
27. January 31, 1990 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.8
28. May 1, 1990 5.0 4.8 4.6
29. July 31, 1990 5.4 5.3
30. November 2, 1990 5.6
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
902 903 904 911 912 913 914 921 922 923 924
Actual: 5.3 5.7 6.1 6.6 6.8 6.9 7.1 7.4 7.6 7.6 7.4
Forecast Dated:
28. May 1, 1990 5.0 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6
29. July 31, 1990 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.0 4.8 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6
30. November 2, 1990 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.0 4.9
31. January 31, 1991 6.1 6.1 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5
32. April 29, 1991 6.8 6.9 6.7 6.5 6.2 6.0 5.8
33. July 27, 1991 7.0 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.3 6.1
34. October 30, 1991 6.8 6.6 6.4 6.2 6.0
35. February 2, 1992 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.5
36. April 30, 1992 7.0 6.8 6.5
37. August 5, 1992 7.2 6.8
38. November 6, 1992 7.3
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
922 923 924 931 932 933 934 941 942 943 944
Actual: 7.6 7.6 7.4 7.1 7.1 6.8 6.6 6.6 6.2 6.0 5.6
Forecast Dated:
36. April 30, 1992 7.0 6.8 6.5 6.2 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.7
37. August 5, 1992 7.2 6.8 6.4 6.0 5.6 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.9 4.8
38. November 6, 1992 7.3 7.0 6.6 6.2 5.8 5.5 5.3 5.1 5.0
39. January 31, 1993 7.1 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.3
40. May 1, 1993 6.8 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.1 6.0
41. September 5, 1993 6.7 6.5 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.0
42. November 1, 1993 6.5 6.3 6.0 5.9 5.7
43. February 2, 1994 6.2 5.8 5.6 5.5
44. May 2, 1994 6.3 6.2 6.0
45. August 2, 1994 5.9 5.8
46. November 1, 1994 5.9
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
942 943 944 951 952 953 954 961 962 963 964
Actual: 6.2 6.0 5.6 5.5 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.3 5.3
Forecast Dated:
44. May 2, 1994 6.3 6.2 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.2
45. August 2, 1994 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6
46. November 1, 1994 5.9 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.7
47. January 30, 1995 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2
48. April 29, 1995 5.3 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.8
49. July 29, 1995 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.6
50. October 28, 1995 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4
51. February 29, 1996 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5
52. May 3, 1996 5.5 5.5 5.5
53. August 2, 1996 5.3 5.3
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
962 963 964 971 972 973 974 981 982 983 984
Actual: 5.5 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.4 4.5 4.4
Forecast Dated:
52. May 3, 1996 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.9
53. August 2, 1996 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.9
54. November 1, 1996 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5 5.5
55. February 1, 1997 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.1 5.2 5.2 5.2
56. May 9, 1997 5.0 4.9 4.8 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9
57. August 4, 1997 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9
58. November 11, 1997 4.7 4.5 4.3 4.2 4.2
59. January 30, 1998 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.2
60. April 30, 1998 4.6 4.5 4.4
61. July 31, 1998 4.3 4.1
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
982 983 984 991 992 993 994 001 002 003 004
Actual: 4.4 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.2 4.1 4.1 3.9 4.0 3.9
Forecast Dated:
60. April 30, 1998 4.6 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8
61. July 31, 1998 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7
62. November 3, 1998 4.4 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9
63. January 30, 1999 4.3 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.3
64. May 1, 1999 4.1 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.1
65. July 30, 1999 4.1 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9
66. November 5, 1999 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.7
67. January 29, 2000 4.0 3.8 3.7 3.7
68. April 28, 2000 3.7 3.4 3.3
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
002 003 004 011 012 013 014 021 022 023 024
Actual: 3.9 4.0 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.8 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.7 5.9
Forecast Dated:
68. April 28, 2000 3.7 3.4 3.3 3.3 3.3 3.5 3.6 3.7 3.9 4.0 4.1
69. July 31, 2000 4.0 3.8 3.6 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0
70. October 30, 2000 3.9 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6 3.7 3.7 3.8 3.9
71. January 31, 2001 4.2 4.3 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8
72. April 27, 2001 4.2 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7
73. July 27, 2001 4.7 4.8 4.8 4.9 4.9 5.0
74. November 1, 2001 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.7
75. January 31, 2002 5.6 5.5 5.4 5.3
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
022 023 024 031 032 033 034 041 042 043 044
Actual: 5.8 5.7 5.9 5.9 6.2 6.1 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.4
Forecast Dated:
76. April 27, 2002 5.5 5.3 5.1 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8
77. July 31, 2002 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.5 5.3 5.2 5.1 5.1 5.0 5.0
78. October 31, 2002 5.7 5.7 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.4 5.4 5.4
79. January 30, 2003 5.9 5.9 5.8 5.7 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5
80. April 25, 2003 5.9 6.0 5.9 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7
81. July 31, 2003 6.2 6.0 5.9 5.7 5.6 5.5
82. October 31, 2003 5.9 5.6 5.3 5.1 5.0
83. February 5, 2004 5.8 5.6 5.4 5.3
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
042 043 044 051 052 053 054 061 062 063 064
Actual: 5.6 5.4 5.4 5.3 5.1 5.0 5.0 4.7 4.7 4.7 4.5
Forecast Dated:
84. April 29, 2004 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.1
85. July 31, 2004 5.4 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.4
86. October 29, 2004 5.6 5.6 5.6 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 5.6
87. January 28, 2005 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.4 5.5 5.5
88. April 29, 2005 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.3
89. July 30, 2005 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0
90. October 31, 2005 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.6
91. January 28, 2006 5.0 5.0 4.9 4.9
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
062 063 064 071 072 073 074 081 082 083 084
Actual: 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.3 6.0 6.9
Forecast Dated:
92. April 28, 2006 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.9 5.0 5.1
93. July 28, 2006 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.8 4.9
94. October 27, 2006 4.8 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.9 5.0 5.0 5.0 5.0
95. January 31, 2007 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.6
96. April 27, 2007 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.7 4.7
97. July 27, 2007 4.5 4.4 4.3 4.3 4.3 4.1
98. October 31, 2007 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.5
99. January 31, 2008 4.9 5.0 5.1 5.1
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
082 083 084 091 092 093 094 101 102 103 104
Actual: 5.3 6.0 6.9 8.3 9.3 9.6 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.5 9.5
Forecast Dated:
100. April 30, 2008 5.2 5.3 5.3 5.3 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2 5.2
101. July 31, 2008 5.5 5.4 5.2 5.0 4.9 4.7 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.6
102. October 30, 2008 6.4 6.7 6.8 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.7
103. February 5, 2009 7.8 8.3 8.6 8.8 8.7 8.5 8.2 7.9
104. April 30, 2009 8.9 9.3 9.4 9.3 9.1 8.8 8.6
105. August 24, 2009 9.9 10.2 10.1 9.9 9.4 9.1
106. October 31, 2009 9.6 9.4 9.0 8.5 8.0
107. January 30, 2010 9.8 9.4 8.9 8.4
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
102 103 104 111 112 113 114 121 122 123 124
Actual: 9.7 9.5 9.5 9.1 9.1 9.0 8.7 8.3 8.2 8.0 7.8
Forecast Dated:
108. April 30, 2010 9.4 9.0 8.6 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.2 7.0 6.7 6.5 6.2
109. July 30, 2010 9.6 9.3 9.0 8.8 8.5 8.2 7.9 7.6 7.3 7.1
110. October 29, 2010 9.5 9.4 9.2 8.9 8.6 8.2 7.9 7.5 7.2
111. January 29, 2011 9.8 8.7 8.3 7.9 7.6 7.4 7.2 7.1
112. April 28, 2011 8.7 8.4 8.0 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.1
113. July 31, 2011 8.8 8.6 8.3 8.1 7.9 7.7
114. October 30, 2011 8.9 8.7 8.5 8.3 8.1
115. January 28, 2012 8.6 8.5 8.3 8.0
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
122 123 124 131 132 133 134 141 142 143 144
Actual: 8.2 8.0 7.8 7.8 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.6 6.2 6.1 5.7
Forecast Dated:
116. April 27, 2012 8.1 8.0 7.7 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.5 6.4 6.3
117. July 27, 2012 8.2 8.1 7.9 7.7 7.5 7.3 7.0 6.8 6.7 6.5
118. October 26, 2012 8.1 8.0 7.8 7.7 7.5 7.2 7.0 6.8 6.6
119. January 30, 2013 7.8 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.3 7.1 6.9 6.8
120. April 26, 2013 7.7 7.6 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.9
121. August 5, 2013 7.5 7.4 7.2 7.1 6.9 6.8
122. November 11, 2013 7.3 7.4 7.4 7.3 7.3
123. January 30, 2014 6.9 6.8 6.8 6.7
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
142 143 144 151 152 153 154 161 162 163 164
Actual: 6.2 6.1 5.7 5.6 5.4 5.1 5.0 4.9 4.9 4.9 4.8
Forecast Dated:
124. April 30, 2014 6.8 6.8 6.9 6.8 6.7 6.7 6.6 6.5 6.4 6.4 6.3
125. July 31, 2014 6.6 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.4 6.3 6.3 6.4
126. October 30, 2014 6.0 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.1
127. January 31, 2015 5.7 5.8 5.9 6.0 6.1 6.1 6.1 6.2
128. April 29, 2015 5.7 5.8 6.0 6.1 6.2 6.2 6.3
129. July 31, 2015 5.5 5.7 5.9 6.0 6.0 6.0
130. October 31, 2015 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.9
131. January 30, 2016 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.6
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
162 163 164 171 172 173 174 181 182 183 184
Actual: 4.9 4.9 4.8 4.6 4.4 4.3 4.1 4.1 3.9 3.8 3.8
Forecast Dated:
132. April 28, 2016 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7
133. July 29, 2016 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.7 5.8 5.8 5.7 5.7
134. October 30, 2016 5.1 5.3 5.5 5.6 5.8 5.8 5.9 5.9 5.9
135. January 27, 2017 5.0 5.2 5.4 5.6 5.7 5.8 5.9 5.9
136. April 28, 2017 4.7 4.8 5.0 5.1 5.2 5.3 5.3
137. July 30, 2017 4.4 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.9 5.0
138. October 29, 2017 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.5 4.6
139. January 28, 2018 4.0 3.9 3.9 3.9
Table 3 (continued)
Predicted and Actual Values of the Unemployment Rate
182 183 184 191 192 193 194 201 202 203 204
Actual: 3.9 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.7 3.6 3.6
Forecast Dated:
140. April 28, 2018 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5 4.6 4.7 4.7 4.8 4.8
141. July 29, 2018 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.4 4.5
142. October 27, 2018 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.8 3.9 4.0 4.1 4.2 4.2
143. February 28, 2019 3.8 3.9 4.1 4.3 4.5 4.7 4.8 4.8
144. April 26, 2019 3.9 4.1 4.2 4.3 4.4 4.5 4.5
145. July 26, 2019 3.7 3.8 3.9 3.9 4.0 4.1
146. October 30, 2019 3.7 3.8 3.8 3.9 3.9
147. January 30, 2020 3.5 3.6 3.8 3.9
|
|
Table 4: Predicted and
Actual Values for Four-Quarter Real Growth |
Table 4
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of Real GDP
Over the First Four Quarters of the Forecast Period
Act. Pred. Pred.-Act. Period
1. September 23, 1983 8.0 7.4 -0.6 833-842
2. December 3, 1983 6.9 6.1 -0.8 834-843
3. January 28, 1984 5.6 6.1 0.5 841-844
4. April 24, 1984 4.6 4.7 0.1 842-851
5. July 26, 1984 3.7 4.8 1.1 843-852
6. October 24, 1984 4.3 3.2 -1.1 844-853
7. January 24, 1985 4.2 4.6 0.4 851-854
8. April 20, 1985 4.1 3.9 -0.2 852-861
9. July 22, 1985 3.7 4.1 0.4 853-862
10. October 22, 1985 3.1 4.2 1.1 854-863
11. January 27, 1986 2.9 3.5 0.6 861-864
12. April 21, 1986 2.7 4.1 1.4 862-871
13. July 28, 1986 3.4 4.3 0.9 863-872
14. October 25, l987 3.3 3.8 0.5 864-873
15. January 25, 1987 4.5 3.5 -1.0 871-874
16. May 4, 1987 4.2 3.3 -0.9 872-881
17. July 30, 1987 4.5 3.2 -1.3 873-882
18. October 31, 1987 4.2 2.7 -1.5 874-883
19. January 30, 1988 3.8 2.9 -0.9 881-884
20. April 28, 1988 4.3 3.1 -1.2 882-891
21. July 29, 1988 3.7 3.4 -0.3 883-892
22. October 28, 1988 3.9 3.6 -0.3 884-893
23. January 31, 1989 2.7 3.5 0.8 891-894
24. April 27, 1989 2.8 3.0 0.2 892-901
25. July 30, 1989 2.4 2.5 0.1 893-902
26. October 29, 1989 1.7 2.8 1.1 894-903
27. January 31, 1990 0.6 2.4 1.8 901-904
28. May 1, 1990 -0.9 2.8 3.7 902-911
29. July 31, 1990 -0.5 2.0 2.5 903-912
30. November 2, 1990 -0.1 0.8 0.9 904-913
31. January 30, 1991 1.2 2.5 1.3 911-914
32. April 29, 1991 2.9 2.5 -0.4 912-921
33. July 27, 1991 3.2 2.6 -0.6 913-922
34. October 30, 1991 3.7 3.1 -0.6 914-923
35. February 2, 1992 4.4 3.2 -1.2 921-924
36. April 30, 1992 3.3 4.4 1.1 922-931
37 August 5, 1992 2.8 3.4 0.6 923-932
38. November 6, 1992 2.3 3.3 1.0 924-933
39. January 31, 1993 2.6 3.1 0.5 931-934
40. May 1, 1993 3.4 2.8 -0.6 932-941
41. September 5, 1993 4.2 2.5 -1.7 933-942
42. November 1, 1993 4.3 2.9 -1.4 934-943
43. February 2, 1994 4.1 3.1 -1.0 941-944
44. May 2, 1994 3.5 2.7 -0.8 942-951
45. August 2, 1994 2.4 2.1 -0.3 943-952
46. November 1, 1994 2.7 2.0 -0.7 944-953
47. January 30, 1995 2.2 1.9 -0.3 951-954
48. April 29, 1995 2.6 2.5 -0.1 952-961
49. July 29, 1995 4.0 2.4 -1.6 953-962
50. October 28, 1995 4.1 2.4 -1.7 954-963
51. February 19, 1996 4.4 2.5 -1.9 961-964
52. May 3, 1996 4.3 2.7 -1.6 962-971
53. August 2, 1996 4.3 2.3 -2.0 963-972
54. November 1, 1996 4.7 2.4 -2.3 964-973
55. February 1, 1997 4.5 2.5 -2.0 971-974
56. May 9, 1997 4.9 2.7 -2.2 972-981
57. August 4, 1997 4.1 2.0 -2.1 973-982
58. November 11, 1997 4.1 2.9 -1.2 974-983
59. January 30, 1998 4.9 2.5 -2.4 981-984
60. April 30, 1998 4.8 2.5 -2.3 982-991
61. July 31, 1998 4.7 2.0 -2.7 983-992
62. November 3, 1998 4.7 0.9 -3.8 984-993
63. January 30, 1999 4.8 2.3 -2.5 991-994
64. May 1, 1999 4.2 3.0 -1.2 992-001
65. July 30, 1999 5.3 3.3 -2.0 993-002
66. November 5, 1999 4.1 3.3 -0.8 994-003
67. January 29, 2000 3.0 2.9 -0.1 001-004
68. April 28, 2000 2.3 3.5 1.2 002-011
69. July 31, 2000 1.1 2.5 1.4 003-012
70. October 30, 2000 0.5 2.6 2.1 004-013
71. January 31, 2001 0.2 1.0 0.8 011-014
72. April 27, 2001 1.3 2.2 0.9 012-021
73. July 27, 2001 1.3 1.7 0.4 013-022
74. November 1, 2001 2.2 0.5 -1.7 014-023
75. January 31, 2002 2.1 2.4 0.3 021-024
76. April 27, 2002 1.8 3.2 1.4 022-031
77. July 31, 2002 2.0 2.6 0.6 023-032
78. October 31, 2002 3.3 2.5 -0.8 024-033
79. January 30, 2003 4.3 2.8 -1.5 031-034
80. April 25, 2003 4.3 2.9 -1.4 032-041
81. July 31, 2003 4.2 3.6 -0.6 033-042
82. October 31, 2003 3.4 3.9 0.5 034-043
83. February 5, 2004 3.3 3.8 0.5 041-044
84. April 29, 2004 3.9 3.7 -0.2 042-051
85. July 31, 2004 3.6 3.4 -0.2 043-052
86. October 29, 2004 3.5 3.1 -0.4 044-053
87. January 28, 2005 3.1 3.2 0.1 051-054
88. April 29, 2005 3.4 2.3 -1.1 052-061
89. July 30, 2005 3.1 2.9 -0.2 053-062
90. October 31, 2005 2.4 3.1 0.7 054-063
91. January 28, 2006 2.6 2.9 0.3 061-064
92. April 28, 2006 1.5 2.9 1.4 062-071
93. July 28, 2006 1.8 2.2 0.4 063-072
94. October 27, 2006 2.2 2.5 0.3 064-073
95. January 31, 2007 2.0 2.8 0.8 071-074
96. April 27, 2007 1.2 3.0 1.8 072-081
97. July 27, 2007 1.1 3.6 2.5 073-082
98. October 31, 2007 0.0 3.1 3.1 074-083
99. January 31, 2008 -2.8 2.7 5.5 081-084
100. April 30, 2008 -3.3 3.1 6.4 082-091
101. July 31, 2008 -3.9 3.2 7.1 083-092
102. October 30, 2008 -3.0 0.1 3.1 084-093
103. February 5, 2009 0.2 -0.1 -0.3 091-094
104. April 30, 2009 1.7 1.3 -0.4 092-101
105. August 24, 2009 2.8 2.1 -0.7 093-102
106. October 29, 2009 3.2 4.0 0.8 094-103
107. January 30, 2010 2.6 3.9 1.3 101-104
108. April 30, 2010 1.9 3.5 1.6 102-111
109. July 30, 2010 1.7 3.1 1.4 103-112
110. October 29, 2010 0.9 2.9 2.0 104-113
111. January 29, 2011 1.6 4.4 2.8 111-114
112. April 28, 2011 2.7 4.4 1.7 112-121
113. July 31, 2011 2.4 4.4 2.0 113-122
114. October 30, 2011 2.5 3.8 1.3 114-123
115. January 28, 2012 1.5 4.2 2.7 121-124
116. April 27, 2012 1.6 4.8 3.2 122-131
117. July 27, 2012 1.3 4.4 3.1 123-132
118. October 26, 2012 1.9 4.2 2.3 124-133
119. January 30, 2013 2.6 4.3 1.7 131-134
120. April 26, 2013 1.4 3.9 2.5 132-141
121. August 5, 2013 2.7 4.5 1.8 133-142
122. November 11, 2013 3.1 3.4 0.3 134-143
123. January 31, 2014 2.9 4.0 1.1 141-144
124. April 30, 2014 4.1 3.9 -0.2 142-151
125. July 31, 2014 3.5 4.0 0.5 143-152
126. October 30, 2014 2.6 4.0 1.4 144-153
127. January 31, 2015 2.2 3.3 1.1 151-154
128. April 29, 2015 1.8 3.0 1.2 152-161
129. July 31, 2015 1.4 3.1 1.7 153-162
130. October 31, 2015 1.6 2.9 1.3 154-163
131. January 30, 2016 2.1 2.8 0.7 161-164
132. April 28, 2016 2.1 2.7 0.6 162-171
133. July 29, 2016 2.2 3.0 0.8 163-172
134. October 29, 2016 2.4 3.0 0.6 164-173
135. January 27, 2017 2.7 2.7 0.0 171-174
136. April 28, 2017 3.1 3.1 0.0 172-181
137. July 30, 2017 3.3 2.3 -1.0 173-182
138. October 29, 2017 3.1 2.3 -0.8 174-183
139. January 28, 2018 2.5 3.2 0.7 181-184
140. April 28, 2018 2.3 2.5 0.2 182-191
141. July 29, 2018 2.0 2.9 0.9 183-192
142. October 27, 2018 2.1 2.7 0.6 184-193
143. February 28, 2019 2.3 1.4 -0.9 191-194
Mean Absolute Error 1.27
|
|
Table 5: Predicted and
Actual Values for Four-Quarter Inflation |
Table 5
Predicted and Actual Values of the Growth Rate of the GDP Price
Index Over the First Four Quarters of the Forecast Period
Act. Pred. Pred.-Act. Period
1. September 23, 1983 3.7 5.1 1.4 833-842
2. December 3, 1983 3.5 4.9 1.4 834-843
3. January 28, 1984 3.5 4.7 1.2 841-844
4. April 24, 1984 3.5 4.8 1.3 842-851
5. July 26, 1984 3.3 5.1 1.8 843-852
6. October 24, 1984 3.0 4.3 1.3 844-853
7. January 24, 1985 2.8 4.5 1.7 851-854
8. April 20, 1985 2.3 3.9 1.6 852-861
9. July 22, 1985 2.1 3.6 1.5 853-862
10. October 22, 1985 1.9 3.7 1.8 854-863
11. January 27, 1986 2.0 3.0 1.0 861-864
12. April 21, 1986 2.0 2.8 0.8 862-871
13. July 28, 1986 2.3 1.9 -0.4 863-872
14. October 25, l987 2.6 2.1 -0.5 864-873
15. January 25, 1987 2.8 2.4 -0.4 871-874
16. May 4, 1987 3.1 2.7 -0.4 872-881
17. July 30, 1987 3.3 3.7 0.4 873-882
18. October 31, 1987 3.9 3.3 -0.6 874-883
19. January 30, 1988 3.9 3.8 -0.1 881-884
20. April 28, 1988 4.1 3.5 -0.6 882-891
21. July 29, 1988 4.2 4.1 -0.1 883-892
22. October 28, 1988 3.8 3.9 0.1 884-893
23. January 31, 1989 3.6 3.8 0.2 891-894
24. April 27, 1989 3.6 4.5 0.9 892-901
25. July 30, 1989 3.7 4.5 0.8 893-902
26. October 29, 1989 3.8 3.9 0.1 894-903
27. January 31, 1990 3.9 3.9 0.0 901-904
28. May 1, 1990 3.8 4.5 0.7 902-911
29. July 31, 1990 3.4 2.7 -0.7 903-912
30. November 2, 1990 3.3 3.6 0.3 904-913
31. January 30, 1991 3.1 3.7 0.6 911-914
32. April 29, 1991 2.5 2.6 0.1 912-921
33. July 27, 1991 2.4 4.0 1.6 913-922
34. October 30, 1991 2.1 3.0 0.9 914-923
35. February 2, 1992 2.2 2.9 0.7 921-924
36. April 30, 1992 2.3 3.0 0.7 922-931
37 August 5, 1992 2.3 2.2 -0.1 923-932
38. November 6, 1992 2.4 1.7 -0.7 924-933
39. January 31, 1993 2.3 2.0 -0.3 931-934
40. May 1, 1993 2.2 2.0 -0.2 932-941
41. September 5, 1993 2.1 2.5 0.4 933-942
42. November 1, 1993 2.2 2.0 -0.2 934-943
43. February 2, 1994 2.1 1.8 -0.3 941-944
44. May 2, 1994 2.2 1.8 -0.4 942-951
45. August 2, 1994 2.2 2.1 -0.1 943-952
46. November 1, 1994 2.0 2.3 0.3 944-953
47. January 30, 1995 2.0 2.0 0.0 951-954
48. April 29, 1995 1.9 2.5 0.6 952-961
49. July 29, 1995 1.9 2.3 0.4 953-962
50. October 28, 1995 1.8 2.4 0.6 954-963
51. February 19, 1996 1.8 1.8 0.0 961-964
52. May 3, 1996 1.7 1.9 0.2 962-971
53. August 2, 1996 1.7 1.9 0.2 963-972
54. November 1, 1996 1.8 1.7 -0.1 964-973
55. February 1, 1997 1.6 1.7 0.1 971-974
56. May 9, 1997 1.4 1.6 0.2 972-981
57. August 4, 1997 1.1 1.5 0.4 973-982
58. November 11, 1997 1.1 1.6 0.5 974-983
59. January 30, 1998 1.1 1.5 0.4 981-984
60. April 30, 1998 1.3 1.4 0.1 982-991
61. July 31, 1998 1.5 1.7 0.2 983-992
62. November 3, 1998 1.4 1.5 0.1 984-993
63. January 30, 1999 1.6 1.5 -0.1 991-994
64. May 1, 1999 1.9 1.6 -0.3 992-001
65. July 30, 1999 2.2 2.0 -0.2 993-002
66. November 5, 1999 2.4 2.8 0.4 994-003
67. January 29, 2000 2.4 3.2 0.8 001-004
68. April 28, 2000 2.3 3.6 1.3 002-011
69. July 31, 2000 2.4 3.2 0.8 003-012
70. October 30, 2000 2.2 3.5 1.3 004-013
71. January 31, 2001 2.0 3.1 1.1 011-014
72. April 27, 2001 1.6 3.0 1.4 012-021
73. July 27, 2001 1.3 2.7 1.4 013-022
74. November 1, 2001 1.5 1.5 0.0 014-023
75. January 31, 2002 1.7 1.7 0.0 021-024
76. April 27, 2002 1.9 1.7 -0.2 022-031
77. July 31, 2002 1.8 1.6 -0.2 023-032
78. October 31, 2002 1.9 2.1 0.2 024-033
79. January 30, 2003 1.9 2.0 0.1 031-034
80. April 25, 2003 2.2 2.1 -0.1 032-041
81. July 31, 2003 2.7 2.1 -0.6 033-042
82. October 31, 2003 2.8 2.5 -0.3 034-043
83. February 5, 2004 3.0 2.4 -0.6 041-044
84. April 29, 2004 3.1 2.9 -0.2 042-051
85. July 31, 2004 2.9 3.1 0.2 043-052
86. October 29, 2004 3.2 3.1 -0.1 044-053
87. January 28, 2005 3.2 3.5 0.3 051-054
88. April 29, 2005 3.1 3.6 0.5 052-061
89. July 30, 2005 3.3 4.1 0.8 053-062
90. October 31, 2005 3.1 4.4 1.3 054-063
91. January 28, 2006 2.6 4.1 1.5 061-064
92. April 28, 2006 2.9 4.2 1.3 062-071
93. July 28, 2006 2.7 4.3 1.6 063-072
94. October 27, 2006 2.5 4.5 2.0 064-073
95. January 31, 2007 2.6 4.2 1.6 071-074
96. April 27, 2007 2.1 4.0 1.9 072-081
97. July 27, 2007 1.8 4.3 2.5 073-082
98. October 31, 2007 2.1 4.5 2.4 074-083
99. January 31, 2008 2.0 4.0 2.0 081-084
100. April 30, 2008 1.5 3.9 2.4 082-091
101. July 31, 2008 0.9 5.2 4.3 083-092
102. October 30, 2008 0.3 5.0 4.7 084-093
103. February 5, 2009 0.3 2.4 2.1 091-094
104. April 30, 2009 0.5 0.9 0.4 092-101
105. August 24, 2009 1.2 -0.2 -1.4 093-102
106. October 29, 2009 1.4 0.8 -0.6 094-103
107. January 30, 2010 1.6 1.7 0.1 101-104
108. April 30, 2010 1.9 2.1 0.2 102-111
109. July 30, 2010 2.1 1.6 -0.5 103-112
110. October 29, 2010 2.4 1.2 -1.2 104-113
111. January 29, 2011 2.0 2.4 0.4 111-114
112. April 28, 2011 2.1 3.4 1.3 112-121
113. July 31, 2011 1.8 3.4 1.6 113-122
114. October 30, 2011 1.7 3.0 1.3 114-123
115. January 28, 2012 2.1 2.2 0.1 121-124
116. April 27, 2012 1.8 2.8 1.0 122-131
117. July 27, 2012 1.7 2.5 0.8 123-132
118. October 26, 2012 1.7 2.2 0.5 124-133
119. January 30, 2013 1.8 2.6 0.8 131-134
120. April 26, 2013 1.8 2.5 0.7 132-141
121. August 5, 2013 2.0 2.4 0.4 133-142
122. November 11, 2013 2.0 2.2 0.2 134-143
123. January 31, 2014 1.6 2.4 0.8 141-144
124. April 30, 2014 1.1 2.4 1.3 142-151
125. July 31, 2014 1.0 2.6 1.6 143-152
126. October 30, 2014 0.9 2.7 1.8 144-153
127. January 31, 2015 0.8 2.2 1.4 151-154
128. April 29, 2015 0.8 1.5 0.7 152-161
129. July 31, 2015 0.9 1.2 0.3 153-162
130. October 31, 2015 0.9 1.3 0.4 154-163
131. January 30, 2016 1.5 1.4 -0.1 161-164
132. April 28, 2016 2.0 1.0 -1.0 162-171
133. July 29, 2016 1.7 1.2 -0.5 163-172
134. October 29, 2016 1.9 1.1 -0.8 164-173
135. January 27, 2017 2.0 1.9 -0.1 171-174
136. April 28, 2017 2.1 1.7 -0.4 172-181
137. July 30, 2017 2.6 1.6 -1.0 173-182
138. October 29, 2017 2.5 1.8 -0.7 174-183
139. January 28, 2018 2.3 2.2 -0.1 181-184
140. April 28, 2018 2.0 2.4 0.4 182-191
141. July 26, 2019 1.9 2.6 0.7 183-192
142. October 27, 2019 1.7 2.7 1.0 184-193
143. February 28, 2019 1.6 2.4 0.8 191-194
Mean Absolute Error 0.78
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