Presidential Vote Equation--January 30, 2003
The predictions of GROWTH, INFLATION, and GOODNEWS for the previous forecast from the US model (October 31, 2002) were 2.0 percent, 1.9 percent, and 1, respectively, and these predictions are the same for the current forecast (January 30, 2003). There is nothing new regarding the economic predictions, and so the vote prediction stays the same, namely 56.3 percent for President Bush.