Predicted Actual Actual Minimum No. Date Place Time Pace Age Time Difference 1 December 2, 1984 Atlantic City 3:08:44 7:12 42 2:48:52 19:52 2 October 17, 1985 New York City 3:15:37 7:28 43 2:50:41 24:56 3 December 1, 1985 Atlantic City 3:16:04 7:29 43 2:50:41 25:23 4 November 2, 1986 New York City 3:04:52 7:03 44 2:52:31 12:21 5 November 29, 1987 Philadelphia 2:58:45 6:49 45 2:54:23 4:22 6 April 18, 1988 Boston 3:08:59 7:12 45 2:54:23 14:36 7 November 6, 1988 New York City 3:06:44 7:07 46 2:56:16 10:28 8 April 17, 1989 Boston 3:07:27 7:09 46 2:56:16 11:11 9 November 6, 1989 New York City 3:01:59 6:56 47 2:58:09 3:50 10 April 16, 1990 Boston 3:19:23 7:37 47 2:58:09 21:14 11 November 4, 1990 New York City 3:16:50 7:31 48 3:00:05 16:45 12 October 6, 1991 Minneapolis 3:23:08 7:45 49 3:02:02 21:06 13 April 20, 1992 Boston 3:13:24 7:23 49 3:02:02 11:22 14 October 14, 1995 Hartford 3:10:00 7:15 53 3:09:60 0:00 15 May 5, 1996 Walter Childs 3:13:29 7:23 53 3:09:60 3:29 16 November 12, 2000 Ocean State 3:27:30 7:55 58 3:20:27 7:03 17 October 28, 2001 Mystic Places 3:30:23 8:02 59 3:22:37 7:46 18 November 23, 2003 Philadelphia 3:44:19 8:34 61 3:27:01 17:18 19 November 19, 2011 Philadelphia 4:18:22 9:52 69 3:45:32 32:50 20 May 6, 2012 Providence 4:28:03 10:14 69 3:45:32 42:31
The predicted minimum times were computed using the link on the page Compute Aging Effects for "Running, marathon, men." The age factors are based on the results in Fair (2024), "Physical Decline Rates: Men versus Women".
Even though my best time ever was 2:58:45 at age 45, my best age corrected time according to the age factors was 3:10:00 at age 53. My three best age corrected times (all less than 4 minutes off my line) are at ages 47, 53, and 53.