Ray C. Fair: Marathon Times

                                                           Predicted
                                      Actual    Actual      Minimum
No.      Date            Place         Time      Pace  Age    Time   Difference

 1  December 2, 1984  Atlantic City   3:08:44    7:12   42   2:48:52    19:52 
 2  October 17, 1985  New York City   3:15:37    7:28   43   2:50:41    24:56 
 3  December 1, 1985  Atlantic City   3:16:04    7:29   43   2:50:41    25:23 
 4  November 2, 1986  New York City   3:04:52    7:03   44   2:52:31    12:21 
 5  November 29, 1987 Philadelphia    2:58:45    6:49   45   2:54:23     4:22 
 6  April 18, 1988    Boston          3:08:59    7:12   45   2:54:23    14:36 
 7  November 6, 1988  New York City   3:06:44    7:07   46   2:56:16    10:28 
 8  April 17, 1989    Boston          3:07:27    7:09   46   2:56:16    11:11 
 9  November 6, 1989  New York City   3:01:59    6:56   47   2:58:09     3:50 
10  April 16, 1990    Boston          3:19:23    7:37   47   2:58:09    21:14 
11  November 4, 1990  New York City   3:16:50    7:31   48   3:00:05    16:45 
12  October 6, 1991   Minneapolis     3:23:08    7:45   49   3:02:02    21:06 
13  April 20, 1992    Boston          3:13:24    7:23   49   3:02:02    11:22 
14  October 14, 1995  Hartford        3:10:00    7:15   53   3:09:60     0:00 
15  May 5, 1996       Walter Childs   3:13:29    7:23   53   3:09:60     3:29 
16  November 12, 2000 Ocean State     3:27:30    7:55   58   3:20:27     7:03 
17  October 28, 2001  Mystic Places   3:30:23    8:02   59   3:22:37     7:46 
18  November 23, 2003 Philadelphia    3:44:19    8:34   61   3:27:01    17:18 
19  November 19, 2011 Philadelphia    4:18:22    9:52   69   3:45:32    32:50 
20  May 6, 2012       Providence      4:28:03   10:14   69   3:45:32    42:31 

The predicted minimum times were computed using the link on the page Compute Aging Effects for "Running, marathon, men." The age factors are based on the results in Fair (2024), "Physical Decline Rates: Men versus Women".

Even though my best time ever was 2:58:45 at age 45, my best age corrected time according to the age factors was 3:10:00 at age 53. My three best age corrected times (all less than 4 minutes off my line) are at ages 47, 53, and 53.