John Courtmanche: New Haven 20K Times
Predicted
Minimum
No.   Date Time     Pace   Age      Time Difference
  6 September 5, 1983 1:26:00 6:55 40 1:12:16 13:44
  7 September 3, 1984 1:22:00 6:36 41 1:12:49   9:11
  8 September 2, 1985 1:24:00 6:46 42 1:13:27 10:33
  9 September 1, 1986 1:27:38 7:03 43 1:14:00 13:38
10 September 7, 1987 1:25:30 6:53 44 1:14:37 10:53
11 September 5, 1988 1:25:20 6:52 45 1:15:15 10:05
12 September 7, 1989 1:20:50 6:30 46 1:15:48   5:02
13 September 3, 1990 1:25:15 6:52 47 1:16:26   8:49
14 September 2, 1991 1:23:30 6:43 48 1:17:03   6:27
15 September 7, 1992 1:24:49 6:49 49 1:17:41   7:08
16 September 6, 1993 1:25:30 6:53 50 1:18:18   7:12
17 September 5, 1994 1:21:30 6:33 51 1:18:56   2:34
18 September 4, 1995 1:19:33 6:24 52 1:19:33   0:00
19 September 2, 1996 1:23:07 6:41 53 1:20:11   2:56
20 September 1, 1997 1:24:20 6:47 54 1:20:52   3:28
21 September 7, 1998 1:24:58 6:50 55 1:21:30   3:28
22 September 6, 1999 1:33:32 7:32 56 1:22:11 11:21
23 September 4, 2000 1:31:20 7:21 57 1:22:49   8:31
24 September 3, 2001 1:27:30 7:02 58 1:23:30   4:00
25 September 2, 2002 1:26:46 6:59 59 1:24:08   2:38
26 September 1, 2003 1:25:38 6:53 60 1:24:50   0:48
27 September 6, 2004 1:26:02 6:55 61 1:25:31   0:31
28 September 5, 2005 1:27:38 7:03 62 1:26:13   1:25
29 September 4, 2006 1:30:38 7:18 63 1:26:55   3:43
30 September 3, 2007 1:31:28 7:22 64 1:27:36   3:52
31 September 1, 2008 1:33:30 7:31 65 1:28:18   5:12
32 September 7, 2009 1:31:51 7:23 66 1:29:04   2:47
33 September 6, 2010 1:32:15 7:25 67 1:29:45   2:30
34 September 5, 2011 1:38:15 7:54 68 1:30:27   7:48
35 September 3, 2012 1:36:56 7:48 69 1:31:13   5:43
36 September 2, 2013 1:42:22 8:14 70 1:31:54 10:28
37 September 1, 2014 1:54:11 9:11 71 1:32:40 21:31
39 September 5, 2016 1:47:08 8:38 73 1:34:12 12:56

The predicted minimum times were computed on the aging part of this site: Aging in Sports and Chess. These calculations are based on a best time of 1:19:33 at age 52. This is John's personal best time and also his best time age corrected. His times at ages 60, 61, and 62 are very close to his personal best time age corrected. His age 66 and age 67 times are also quite good. The 2013 race had very humid weather, and the weather for the 2014 race was even worse. His 2016 time was ok, not great.